๐ Economic Releases
| Time (ET) | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| 8:30 AM | Core CPI m/m | High |
| 8:30 AM | CPI m/m | High |
| 8:30 AM | CPI y/y | High |
๐ Earnings Today
๐ Premarket Gainers & Losers
๐ฏ Gamma Flip Point โ $SPX (S&P 500 Index)
$SPX gamma flip point is 6700.43 |
๐ฅ Hot Market News
| US Treasury and Federal Reserve Summon Wall Street Leaders Over AI Cyberrisk Concerns US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell held an urgent meeting with Wall Street leaders to address concerns about potential cyberrisks posed by Anthropicโs new AI model, Mythos. The model can identify and exploit vulnerabilities in operating systems and web browsers, prompting regulators to ensure banks are prepared for possible cyberattacks.
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| China's Factory-Gate Prices Rise for the First Time in Over Three Years Amid Oil Price Surge from Iran Conflict China's producer price index increased by 0.5% in March, marking its first rise in over three years due to a surge in oil prices caused by the U.S.-Iran conflict that has disrupted global energy markets. Consumer prices rose 1% year-on-year in March, driven by rising gasoline prices, while China braces for potential inflationary effects despite its strategic oil reserves and diversified energy sources.
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| Xi Jinping Meets Taiwan's Opposition Leader Cheng Li-wun in Rare Beijing Meeting China's leader Xi Jinping met with Cheng Li-wun, the chair of Taiwanโs Kuomintang party, marking the first such contact in a decade. Cheng's visit to Beijing has sparked controversy in Taiwan due to her pro-China stance amid increasing military tensions from Beijing, as China views 'reunification' with Taiwan as a legacy goal.
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| British sentiment toward Trumpโs US plunges amid Iran war A majority of the British public now believes the United States is a negative force in the world, according to new polling shared with POLITICO as the Iran war continues to strain the transatlantic relationship.
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| ConocoPhillips visits Venezuela to evaluate oil opportunities ConocoPhillips is exploring potential oil investments in Venezuela as part of its strategy to assess international opportunities in the energy sector.
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| Hedge Funds Are Covering Their Shorts at Fastest Pace Since March 2020 Crash Hedge funds are rapidly closing their short positions at a pace not seen since the market turmoil of March 2020, indicating a shift in investor sentiment or response to market changes.
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| TSMC's Quarterly Revenue Surges 42% Amid AI and Smartphone Demand Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reported a 42% increase in quarterly revenue, driven by strong demand for AI servers and smartphones ahead of potential US tariffs, marking its fastest growth since 2022. The company, the main chipmaker for Apple and Nvidia, saw revenues of NT$839.25 billion in the first quarter of 2025 and announced a US$100 billion investment in US chipmaking with backing from President Trump, despite concerns over potential tariff impacts.
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| Alibaba Claims Ownership of Viral AI Model Happy Horse, Intensifying Generative Video Race Alibaba has announced it created Happy Horse, a video generation AI model that topped global performance rankings. The model's viral emergence has positioned Alibaba as a key player in the generative video market, as the company looks to expand its AI infrastructure presence beyond e-commerce and cloud services.
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| Fast Retailing Shares Surge Over 9% to Record High After Raising Annual Outlook Fast Retailing's shares rose sharply following an upgraded annual profit forecast to 700 billion yen, driven by strong international growth and a solid first-half performance. The company's revenues increased by 14.8% and its operating profit by 31.7%, with Uniqlo International leading the growth, despite facing increased costs from the Middle East conflict.
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๐ฑ Forex News
| Oil Rises After Saudi Arabia Infrastructure Attacks Amid US-Iran Ceasefire Oil prices rose for a second day as Saudi production capacity dropped by 600,000 barrels daily due to attacks on energy infrastructure, though futures remained on track for a major weekly loss. The disruption affected the East-West pipeline and prompted countries like Japan and China to tap into reserves, amid looming negotiations involving the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz tensions.
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| Russian pipeline gas and LNG exports to Europe rose steeply in March Gas exports from Russia to Europe increased significantly in March due to heightened market demand spurred by escalating conflict in the Mideast Gulf.
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| Asian Currencies Mostly Weaken Ahead of US-Iran Talks Asian currencies experienced a general decline in value as financial markets anticipated upcoming diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran.
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| Wheat Futures Weaken Amid Increased USDA Stocks Report Wheat futures dropped on Thursday following an increased stocks report from USDA, with Chicago SRW futures down 4 ยพ to 7 ยผ cents, KC HRW futures down 4 ยพ to 8 ยผ cents, and MPLS spring wheat down 4 ยพ to 5 ยพ cents. The USDA's WASDE report raised U.S. wheat ending stocks by 7 million bushels and world ending stocks by 6.16 million metric tons, primarily due to increased production in the EU and Russia, while crude oil prices rose by $4.06.
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| U.S. crude oil exports to reach record 5.2 million barrels per day in April U.S. crude oil exports are expected to increase to 5.2 million barrels per day in April as Asian demand rises due to Middle Eastern oil supply disruptions caused by the Iran conflict. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions escalate with Iran threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz after Israel's attack on Lebanon, contributing to higher WTI crude prices of over $110 per barrel and U.S. gasoline costs exceeding $4 per gallon.
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| Hedge Funds Target Won and Yuan Strength on Ceasefire Optimism Hedge funds are increasing their positions on the Korean won and the Chinese yuan, anticipating that optimism over a potential ceasefire will strengthen these Asian currencies.
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| China Demand Dial: Examining Credit's Role in the Economy China's credit conditions are cooling as private credit demand weakens, despite government-driven infrastructure projects taking precedence. In January 2026, new bank loans totaled 4.71 trillion yuan, missing forecasts, while government borrowing bolstered total social financing to 7.22 trillion yuan, highlighting the significant role of policy-directed credit towards infrastructure.
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| Iran and China Challenge US Dollar Dominance Amid Conflict in Strait of Hormuz Amid a temporary pause in the US-Israel conflict with Iran, Iran and China are collaborating to reduce the dominance of the US dollar in the global economy by promoting the Chinese yuan, particularly through transactions in the critical oil transit area of the Strait of Hormuz. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to bypass US sanctions and foster economic ties between the two nations.
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๐ช Crypto News
| Iranian Crypto Tolls in Strait of Hormuz Since mid-March 2026, Iran has been using cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin and possibly USDT, for transit toll payments in the Strait of Hormuz, charging ship operators up to USD 2 million per vessel. This marks the first state use of crypto as a sovereign revenue mechanism at a major maritime chokepoint, with potential daily revenues of up to USD 20 million from oil tankers and monthly revenues of USD 600โ800 million if LNG vessels are included.
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| Bank of America Predicts U.S. Sports Event Contracts Could Reach $1.1 Trillion Bank of America analysts project the annual volume of U.S. sports-related event contracts could grow to $1.1 trillion, potentially generating $10 billion in annual revenue for prediction market platforms, boosted by federal regulation and tax advantages over sportsbooks. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is seeking to preempt state laws that inhibit these markets, asserting its regulatory jurisdiction over event contracts.
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| Stablecoin Volumes to Reach $719T by 2035 as Generational Wealth Stablecoin volumes are projected to reach $719 trillion by 2035, driven by the transfer of generational wealth and increased digital asset adoption.
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| Bitmine Uplists to NYSE, Expands Buyback to $4 Billion Bitmine Immersion Technologies will start trading on the New York Stock Exchange following its uplisting from the NYSE American, holding about 4.8 million ether tokens, and has expanded its share-repurchase program to $4 billion.
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