๐Ÿ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
10:00 AMISM Services PMIHigh
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๐Ÿ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
PENG
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
AMC0.56
EPS Est
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
AMC0.49
EPS Est
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
AMC-0.02
EPS Est
SAR
Saratoga Investment Corp.
AMC0.54
EPS Est
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๐Ÿ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

โ–ฒ Top GainersCompanyChange
SHAZSharonAI Holdings, Inc.+11.88%
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc+7.95%
FIZZNational Beverage Corp.+7.74%
SECZSecuritize Corp.+6.99%
VICRVicor Corporation+6.73%
NWLNewell Brands Inc.+6.69%
OCGNOcugen, Inc.+5.96%
IRENIREN Limited+5.82%
NUAINew Era Energy & Digital, Inc.+5.76%
CCXIChurchill Capital Corp. XI Class A+5.76%
โ–ผ Top LosersCompanyChange
EDITEditas Medicine, Inc.-6.58%
DPCDPC Holdings PLC-5.50%
ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.-3.75%
PALIPalisade Bio, Inc.-3.10%
MAXMediaAlpha, Inc.-3.00%
IMRXImmuneering Corporation-2.89%
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.-2.61%
ALMSAlumis Inc.-2.26%
ITRNIturan Location and Control Ltd.-2.00%
RXORXO, Inc.-1.99%
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๐ŸŽฏ  Gamma Flip Point โ€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7486.6

 

๐Ÿ”ฅ  Hot Market News

French Aircraft Carrier Set to Head Home After Hormuz Deployment

France's aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle is returning to Toulon after a two-month deployment near the Strait of Hormuz, while mine countermeasure vessels will continue to operate in the area, with over 40 nations committing naval support to ensure safe navigation amid a fragile US-Iran ceasefire.

Thenationalnews · 3 minute read

The Supertanker Tycoon Making Millions on Hormuz Shuttle Runs

Just a few weeks into the war, one of the Persian Gulf's top oil producers quietly began sneaking its crude out of the Strait of Hormuz. Before long, the covert project became so successful that the United Arab Emirates was already approaching its pre-war rate of flows through the waterway by the time the US and Iran signed their interim peace deal.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Chip Stock Bulls Count on Samsung to Soothe AI Trade Jitters

Samsung Electronics is expected to report a preliminary operating profit of 84.3 trillion won for the quarter ended June, an 18-fold increase from a year ago, driven by a 127% revenue surge fueled by strong demand for AI-related memory chips. This comes amid a global supply crunch and rising chip prices, critical for training large AI systems, while Samsung and SK Group plan further investments in chip manufacturing plants.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

The Chart Report@TheChartReport

South Korea, Taiwan, and the Netherlands were the top-performing international markets during the first half of 2026, while Indonesia, China, and India ranked among the weakest. @MacroMicroMe

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

China's Real Estate Market has erased all gains from the last 20 years

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

BREAKING: US technology funds attracted +$14.3 billion in inflows in the week ending July 1st, the 2nd biggest weekly inflow on record. This follows -$9.3 billion in outflows the prior week and a record +$19.2 billion in inflows two weeks earlier. This brings the 4-week average of weekly inflows to a record +$9.0 billion. Tech funds are now on pace to attract +$152 billion in inflows in 2026, an all-time high. Meanwhile, US equity funds recorded -$17.2 billion in outflows in the week ending July 1st, the largest weekly withdrawal since March. Investors are aggressively rotating into technology.

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Joey Politano ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ@JosephPolitano

US data center construction reached another new record high in official data released today, hitting a pace of nearly $60B/yr (and this only includes data center facilities, not the expensive computers within) Spending's up 23% over the last year and 328% since ChatGPT's launch

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Joey Politano ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ@JosephPolitano

America's COVID-era warehouse boom is truly overโ€”real US warehouse construction has fallen to the lowest level since 2019 in official data released today It's down nearly 40% since its 2023 peak and is down 10% over the last year alone

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Sasha Gusev@SashaGusevPosts

2. The murder rate is at the lowest level since 1900.

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Sasha Gusev@SashaGusevPosts

Some fun charts: 1. Each US generation is wealthier than the last.

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

US debt issuance is a stunning 7% of GDP. That's our budget deficit, which keeps ramping up even though our public debt is higher than it's been in a very long time. Fiscal is out of control. No way the Fed can reduce its balance sheet with this going on. https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fed-shrink-its-balance-sheet

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Bank loans to Private Credit and PE firms are up +325% since 2015, outpacing any other loan type

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

The Shit Returns Coming on All This AI Capex AI revenues have finally overtaken depreciation, a very low bar. Getting even a decent return on all the capex planned requires the recent 100% revenue growth rate to accelerate over the next 5 years. https://bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/the-shit-returns-coming-on-all-this

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Christophe Barraud๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿณ@C_Barraud

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Chinese automakers overtake Japanese rivals in Europe despite EV tariffs - Nikkei Asia https://asia.nikkei.com/business/automobiles/chinese-automakers-overtake-japanese-rivals-in-europe-despite-ev-tariffs

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Rand Group@randgroup

๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Three small regions concentrate 50% of the global GDP

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Visual Capitalist@VisualCap

Countries With the Highest Percentage of Male Population ๐Ÿ‘จ This graphic by Harris Saleem is one of the many incredible data-driven charts and stories from creators featured on our @VoronoiApp. โœ… https://www.voronoiapp.com/people/Countries-With-the-Highest-Percentage-of-Male-Population-4968

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

What is happening with the US construction sector? The hiring rate in US construction fell -0.3 percentage points in May, to 3.5%, the lowest since data began in 2000. Since January, this figure has declined -1.1 percentage points, extending its 4-year downtrend. By comparison, the 2008 Financial Crisis and 2020 pandemic lows were 4.5% and 3.7%, respectively. This comes as 295,000 new workers were hired in the construction sector in May, the 3rd-lowest monthly total since the 2020 pandemic. Excluding 2020, this is the 3rd-lowest reading in 10 years. US construction hiring is historically weak.

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Christophe Barraud๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿณ@C_Barraud

๐Ÿšจ The real warning signal for AI may not come from the tech giants but from their customers. โžก๏ธ For now, the infrastructure sellers continue to capture most of the value but the sectors expected to use AI heavily are not yet showing a spectacular acceleration in earnings. Normally, AI should allow companies to improve productivity, reduce costs, expand margins and ultimately grow profits. However, at this stage, we can clearly see the revenues of those selling the promise but much less the economic gains of those buying it. โš ๏ธ That does not mean AI is a bubble as productivity gains take time but the market will gradually start asking for proof. Not just announcements, speeches or AI partnerships, but visible results in the numbers with higher margins, stronger cash flow and faster earnings growth. If the promise remains concentrated among compute sellers, the market may eventually question whether the spending is truly justified. This is not a crash signal but it is clearly a signal to stay vigilant. *FT link: https://www.ft.com/content/19fa80bb-1c8e-44ac-bfba-ba8da321be6d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

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Christophe Barraud๐Ÿ›ข๐Ÿณ@C_Barraud

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐ŸŒŽ The AI Trade Is Losing One of Its Key Signals - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-03/the-ai-trade-is-losing-one-of-its-key-signals-taking-stock

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Joey Politano ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ@JosephPolitano

The US tech sector continues bleeding jobsโ€”American tech sector employment is down 49k over the last year in data released this morning. That's nearly as bad as the worst of the 2024 tech-cession, and significantly worse than either the 2008 or 2020 recessions

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MTS Insights@MTSInsights

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช The UAE's non-oil private sector lost further momentum in June, with the S&P Global UAE PMI falling to 50.8 from 52.6, its weakest reading since February 2021. Output growth slowed to a five-year low, while employment contracted for the first time in more than four years and at the fastest pace since August 2020.

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MTS Insights@MTSInsights

๐Ÿšข Global container shipping rates continued to surge this week, with the Drewry World Container Index (WCI) rising +9% WoW to $4,530. The increase was driven by further gains across both the Transpacific and Asiaโ€“Europe trade routes. The broader container market remains supported by early peak season demand and elevated shipping costs linked to geopolitical risks. While the interim USโ€“Iran agreement has helped restore vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, security concerns remain elevated following the suspension of ship escort operations after an attack on a containership near Oman.

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๐Ÿ’ฑ  Forex & Commodities

Total CEO Sees Mideast Producers Desperate to Sell Oil Stocks

Middle Eastern oil producers are urgently trying to sell off large crude inventories built up during a recent Gulf conflict, but logistical issues and risk aversion amongst shipowners regarding the Strait of Hormuz are causing difficulties, leading to heavily discounted crude prices, according to TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyannรฉ.

Energyconnects · 1 minute read

Oil supply wave, tumbling prices rekindle fears of global glut

Oil prices have dropped due to increased supply following a US-Iran peace deal, leading to discussions of a potential crude oil glut. OPEC+ agreed to raise quotas, while Persian Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia have increased exports, yet concerns persist about an over-supply as Chinese demand remains weak.

Straitstimes · 7 minute read

Carry Traders Shift Away From Dollar for Emerging Market Bets

Investors engaged in carry trading are moving away from the U.S. dollar and instead seeking opportunities in emerging markets, potentially in response to changing interest rate dynamics and economic conditions.

Msn · 3 minute read

Goldman cuts yen forecast to 165 per US dollar, likes carry trades

Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for the yen to weaken to 165 per dollar within a year, citing Japan's interest rate differentials with the US, persistent fiscal pressures, and gradual Bank of Japan rate hikes. The yen is trading near its lowest levels since 1986, and the outlook suggests further depreciation despite its significant undervaluation.

Com · 2 minute read

Copper and Aluminum Advance on Fading Expectations for Rate Hike

Copper prices increased for the third consecutive day and aluminum rebounded from a four-month low as expectations of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve diminished. The gains were also supported by Chinese funds shifting towards metal stocks in anticipation of strong earnings reports from producers.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Pound Defies Expectations as Traders Give Burnham a Chance

The pound has risen unexpectedly as traders show optimism towards Andy Burnham's economic policies, despite prior predictions of currency decline.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT ๐Ÿ–@MikeZaccardi

Oil is cheaper than it was 20 years ago JPMAM

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Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

Daily count of tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

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Rand Group@randgroup

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia is sitting on $75 trillion in natural resources and runs an economy smaller than Texas.

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

There's endless questions about what's going on with gold and why it's traded as poorly as it has in the past 3 months. But here it seems like gold has bottomed. Real rates are double what they were before the war. That just makes very little sense... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/why-has-gold-fallen-so-much

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๐Ÿช™  Crypto News

Lenders to Supercharge Crypto Trading in Germany

Financial institutions in Germany are set to enhance their support for cryptocurrency trading, potentially increasing the availability and ease of access for investors in the crypto market.

Com · 3 minute read

Inside the Hidden World of Information Arbitrage: How 'Sharps' Dominate Prediction Markets

Prediction markets processed $25 billion in April 2026. Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast reveals how elite 'sharps' use algorithmic bots to dominate retail traders.

Co · 1 minute read

Banks have stopped asking if stablecoins belong in finance, now they're considering how

Standard Chartered has announced it will provide institutional clients direct access to mint and redeem the stablecoin USDC, joining a trend among global banks like BNY in integrating stablecoin services into their offerings, amidst a growing shift in banking towards using established stablecoin networks.

Cryptonews · 3 minute read

ESMA Moves to Block Retail Investors from Prediction Markets

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is set to enforce rules that prevent retail investors from participating in prediction markets by treating such markets as derivatives, aligning them with the EU's binary-options ban. This decision affects operators who may need to restructure, comply, or withdraw from retail-focused services, impacting a multibillion-dollar market.

Pricepredictions · 2 minute read

Rand Group@randgroup

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The GENIUS Act did more than regulate stablecoins. It opened a land grab. USDT and USDC own the past. The lane that opened in 2026 is institutional dollar settlement, and the fastest mover into it launched barely a year ago. Most rank stablecoins by market cap. In 2026 that is the vanity metric. USD1 is roughly the fifth largest dollar token, yet turns over close to half its supply every day. Highest velocity of any major stablecoin. Size stopped being the point. Let me explain what actually changed this year. ๐Ÿ“ˆ THE METRIC EVERYONE STILL GETS WRONG The whole market obsesses over the leaderboard. Tether near 186 billion, USDC near 76 billion, and a wide gap before anyone else. That ranking tells you who parked the most dollars. It tells you almost nothing about who is moving them. The number that matters now is velocity. How many times does a token actually change hands. Stablecoins processed around 46 trillion dollars in 2025, more than 20 times PayPal and closing on 3 times Visa. The rails got real. In that world a coin that sits idle is worth less than a smaller coin that never stops moving. ๐Ÿ›๏ธ WHAT THE GENIUS ACT ACTUALLY DID People treated it as a compliance headache. It was a starting gun. Signed July 18, 2025, it gave dollar pegged stablecoins a federal definition as payment instruments and set reserve and disclosure rules, with final implementation landing July 18, 2026. Two things followed. Offshore liquidity stayed with USDT for global retail and high frequency trading. And a brand new onshore lane opened for regulated dollar settlement, payroll, corporate treasury. Stripe, Visa, Mastercard, PayPal and Western Union all launched or piloted stablecoin settlement, treating it as infrastructure rather than an experiment. That is the lane the incumbents were not built to defend, because they were built for a pre regulation world. โš™๏ธ THE CLEANEST EXAMPLE OF THE NEW MODEL $USD1 World Liberty Financial Launched March 2025. Custodied by BitGo, backed by cash and short term Treasuries, live across 11 plus chains. What makes it a useful case study is not the ticker, it is the design choice. It was built compliance first and wired into distribution from day one, listing on Binance and Coinbase early instead of begging for liquidity later. Then the settlement wins arrived. A 2 billion dollar investment by Abu Dhabi based MGX into Binance was settled in USD1, one of the largest stablecoin settled transaction in crypto history. Binance folded USD1 into major spot pairs and converted its BUSD collateral into USD1 at 1 to 1. A tie up with Apex Group, a firm servicing over 3.5 trillion dollars in assets, opened the door to tokenized asset flows. None of that is retail hype. It is plumbing. USD1 runs the highest volume to market cap ratio of any major stablecoin, close to half its supply turning over daily. And lately its order books have been running deeper than USDC's. You do not fake either of those with a marketing budget. Somebody is settling with it. ๐ŸŽฏ FINAL THOUGHTS The last cycle rewarded whoever could park the most idle dollars. This one rewards whoever can move them, under rules that let banks and payment networks plug in without legal risk. Market cap is becoming a backward looking scoreboard. Turnover is the leading one. Watch the velocity leaders, not the size leaders. The dollar that moves fastest onchain tends to be the one institutions quietly standardized on before the rest of the market caught up. Which metric are you actually tracking when you judge a stablecoin now, size or settlement volume?

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Rand Group@randgroup

Bitcoin touched its power law floor in 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2022. Every single touch was a generational bottom. Every single touch felt like death at the time.

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