πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
8:15 AMADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
10:00 AMISM Services PMIHigh
10:00 AMTreasury Sec Bessent SpeaksMedium
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
AMC2.40
EPS Est
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
AMC1.07
EPS Est
MDT
Medtronic plc
BMO1.55
EPS Est
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
BMO1.45
EPS Est
VEEV
Veeva Systems Inc.
AMC2.14
EPS Est
IOT
Samsara Inc.
AMC0.13
EPS Est
PL
Planet Labs PBC
AMC-0.04
EPS Est
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc.
AMC-0.03
EPS Est
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
AMC2.59
EPS Est
GWRE
Guidewire Software, Inc.
AMC0.74
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
LILKVLiberty Latin America Ltd+78.57%
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company+34.36%
RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc.+16.06%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.+15.35%
KELYBKelly Services, Inc.+14.19%
CTRNCiti Trends, Inc.+11.20%
PLBLPolibeli Group Ltd+10.21%
CAMTCamtek Ltd.+10.06%
GRRRGorilla Technology Group Inc.+9.65%
GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc.+8.82%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
FULCFulcrum Therapeutics, Inc.-51.40%
ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.-25.46%
CELCCelcuity Inc.-22.39%
ORICOric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.-10.91%
TEAMAtlassian Corporation-10.49%
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.-10.44%
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.-9.80%
XMTRXometry, Inc.-9.45%
LPTHLightPath Technologies, Inc.-9.39%
SHAKShake Shack, Inc.-8.24%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7585.88

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

US Launches 'Self-Defence' Strikes on Iran as Middle East Tensions Escalate

The US military struck Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz and intercepted missiles and drones fired by Iran, in response to Iranian attacks on US bases and ships. The escalation follows stalled ceasefire negotiations, and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated no sanctions relief for Iran without conditions relating to its nuclear program.

BBC · 4 minute read

Microsoft launches Scout AI assistant that works like executive assistant

Microsoft has introduced Scout, an AI assistant designed to function as an executive assistant, streamlining tasks and improving productivity for users.

Business-standard · 3 minute read

Palo Alto Networks Raises Annual Revenue and Profit Forecast

Palo Alto Networks increased its annual revenue and profit expectations due to higher enterprise spending on cloud and AI-driven cybersecurity products, resulting in a 7.4% rise in share value during extended trading. The company now anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue of $11.415 billion to $11.425 billion and adjusted profit per share of $3.77 to $3.79.

Yahoo Finance · 1 minute read

Trump’s Netanyahu Problem Is Latest Key Hurdle to Iran Deal

President Donald Trump has spent months projecting confidence that a deal to end the Iran conflict is within reach. Israel’s determination to press ahead with its own objectives underscores his tenuous control over the outcome of the crisis.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Google Gemini AI Search Shift is Freaking Out the Online Ad World

Google's introduction of Gemini, an AI-powered search tool, is causing concern in the online advertising industry due to potential changes in search behavior and advertising dynamics.

Business-standard · 3 minute read

Wealthy Russians see empires crumble as Putin seizes assets

Vadim Moshkovich, founder of Russian agricultural firm Ros Agro, lost a 49% stake in the company following a Moscow court ruling citing violations of a ban on combining public service with business activities during his time in parliament. This is part of a broader crackdown on wealthy Russians accused of corruption, which has led to significant asset seizures across the country.

Straitstimes · 6 minute read

How China’s wealthy sidestep strict rules to get money out of the country

Chinese authorities are intensifying efforts to monitor and crack down on networks that facilitate the movement of billions of US dollars offshore each year, despite strict capital controls. Common methods of evasion include smuggling cash, 'smurfing', underground banking, fraudulent invoicing, and the use of cryptocurrencies.

Com · 5 minute read

Cleveland Fed President Hammack Warns of Potential Interest Rate Hike Due to Inflation Concerns

Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack indicated that interest rates may need to rise if inflation trends continue, as she prioritizes managing inflation over full employment. She highlighted that current interest rates may not adequately restrain inflation to the 2% target, and prolonged high inflation could become entrenched in wages and pricing.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Cliffwater Private Credit Fund Stung By 17% Redemption Requests

Cliffwater's Private Credit Fund has received redemption requests amounting to 17% of its assets, indicating significant investor withdrawals.

Fa-mag · 3 minute read

Barchart@Barchart

BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Housing Market Home Sellers now outnumber Buyers by 630,000, the largest gap ever recorded πŸ€―πŸ‘€

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

Tokenized stocks are rapidly expanding. The total market cap of onchain tokenized stocks is now up to a record $1.6 billion. This marks a +240% increase year-to-date as tokenization gains popularity and equity markets have experienced a historic rally. Additionally, trading volume is also gaining momentum as xStocks and Ondo, two of the most active spot providers in the space, have both posted ~200% growth in monthly active trading volume this year. Amid this growth, Jupiter, the largest onchain platform, has processed over $400 million in onchain tokenized stock spot volume, becoming a key venue for tokenized spot trading. Meanwhile, in a sudden shift, Bloomberg reported that the SEC is now preparing a framework for the trading of tokenized stocks. Tokenization is accelerating.

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Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston

It makes sense that Chinese refineries have cut runs (and thus imports) given the margin implosion. It makes less sense that we'd see acute demand destruction across Chinese consumers shielded from global price spikes by caps on domestic pump prices. Reuters:

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Global shipping costs have more than doubled since February

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

S&P 500 earnings are now expected to increase by 24% this year. We've never seen earnings growth this high outside of post-recessionary rebounds. An unprecedented boom fueled by massive EPS gains in big tech. Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FlmEAF2bzC4&t=293s

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"The AI buildout’s planned capital spending – already historic at the start of the year – has only accelerated. Mega cap hyperscaler investment estimates have soared in just two quarters, with projected annual spending now approaching $1 trillion by 2028." @BlackRock

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

"Inflation now outpaces paychecks," per CNBC

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Polymarket@Polymarket

NEW: Berkshire Hathaway to invest $10,000,000,000.00 in Google.

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

China's export prices suggest global inflation pressures are building: China's overall export prices rose +5% YoY in April, the largest gain since April 2023. This marks a sharp reversal from nearly 3 consecutive years of contraction. This surge was driven by global commodities, including crude oil, metals, and semiconductors, amid the Iran War shock. Mineral fuels led with a +22% YoY gain, while fertilizer prices rose +17% and electronic export prices soared +21% on severe chip shortages. Global inflation is rebounding.

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Joey Politano πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ@JosephPolitano

US data center construction rose to a new record high in official data released today, hitting a pace of nearly $51B/yr (and this only includes data center facilities, not the expensive computers within) Spending is up 28% over the last year and 268% since the launch of ChatGPT

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a16z@a16z

Relatively speaking, hyperscalers are still less leveraged than most Charts of the Week: https://www.a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-week-retail-to-the

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Eric Basmajian@EPBResearch

Pre-tax corporate profit margins just hit 20.6%, the highest on record. 2/

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. manufacturing activity hits 4-year high, expanding for the 5th straight month

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Peter Berezin@PeterBerezinBCA

Peaking?

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Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouet

The UK accounts for roughly 0.74% of current global COβ‚‚ emissions. Can someone please explain the point of deindustrializing at home only to produce the same goods in Asia, but with more emissions? Similar question for Germany. Does the β€žgreenβ€œ approach make any sense to you?

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

AI is being used more than ever. Paid token volume has roughly tripled in 5 months following the rise of agentic AI.

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

Oil prices rise as new Middle East hostilities flare and talks stall

Oil prices climbed more than 1% in early trade on Wednesday as hostilities in the Middle East erupted anew with ​Iran firing missiles at Kuwait and Bahrain, while diplomatic talks β€Œbetween Iran and the United States showed little progress.

Brecorder · 3 minute read

Persistent Strength in Dollar Sends Japanese Yen Sliding to Key 160 Level Amid Gulf Tensions

Strength in the U.S. dollar pushed the Japanese yen to the key 160 level, as renewed tensions in the Gulf increased demand for the safe-haven currency. Iran launched ballistic missiles that missed targets, leading to U.S. retaliatory strikes, while diplomatic talks between Iran and the U.S. remain stalled, causing market apprehension.

CNBC · 3 minute read

Japan tempers yen warnings despite renewed slide towards key 160 level

Japanese financial authorities opted for restraint as the yen approached 160 per dollar, holding back from aggressive warnings despite past interventions proving ineffective. Analysts suggest that officials prefer waiting for a more critical level for intervention, as Japan continues to coordinate with the U.S. on currency moves while domestic pressure mounts to address underlying causes of yen weakness.

Channelnewsasia · 3 minute read

Gold Edges Lower Amid Renewed Middle East Tensions

Gold prices fell as renewed clashes in the Middle East cast doubt over US-Iran peace negotiations, with Iran firing missiles at Kuwait and Bahrain, and US forces striking Qeshm Island. The ongoing conflict continues to impact energy flows, raising inflation concerns and affecting investor sentiment.

Com · 3 minute read

Liz Thomas@LizThomasStrat

Based on current trends, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) would reach operational minimum levels around August. The drawdown pace is surpassing what was seen during the SPR release authorized by the Biden admin in 2022.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Gold has overtaken Treasuries as the world’s top reserve asset

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Hedge funds are bullish on the U.S. Dollar

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Chinese crude oil imports hit lowest level in a decade

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News

Mastercard Expands Settlement Capabilities to Include Stablecoin

Mastercard enhances its financial infrastructure by incorporating stablecoin capabilities, enabling customers to settle transactions using digital currencies alongside traditional fiat options.

Mastercard · 3 minute read

Bitcoin Drops to $67,263 as Investors Shift to Stablecoins Amid Market Uncertainty

Bitcoin fell 4.28% to $67,263, with other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum dropping over 5%, as investors reallocate funds into stablecoins like Tether and USD Coin. This shift occurs amidst heightened market fear, inflation concerns, and regulatory caution, indicating a defensive investor stance while maintaining liquidity for potential rebound opportunities.

Interactivecrypto · 7 minute read

Hyperliquid Predicted 80% of Oil Move Before Traditional Exchanges Opened

Hyperliquid, a predictive platform, accurately forecasted 80% of the oil price movement before traditional financial exchanges began trading.

Moomoo · 3 minute read

River@River

Criminals prefer stablecoins over bitcoin.

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Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: Bitcoin crashes under $67,000 $700,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 2 hours.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

🚨 Bitcoin ETFs bleed -$3.45 billion over 11 straight sessions

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