πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
10:00 AMPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentMedium
10:00 AMPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMedium
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
PLCE
The Children's Place, Inc.
AMC-0.62
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
ELVNEnliven Therapeutics, Inc.+21.62%
NAVNNavan, Inc.+16.48%
FACFactorial Energy Inc.+13.04%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.+9.01%
AIAIAIAI Holdings Corporation+8.84%
IDCCInterDigital, Inc.+8.31%
CPNGCoupang, Inc.+8.20%
BVSBioventus Inc.+7.84%
TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.+7.48%
FVRFrontView REIT, Inc.+7.03%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.-19.77%
PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.-16.54%
ORCLOracle Corporation-10.61%
OXMOxford Industries, Inc.-10.42%
ORCL/PDOracle Corporation Depositary Shares, each representing a 1/2,000th interest in a sh of 6.50% Series D Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock-8.29%
MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.-7.66%
DANDana Incorporated-6.12%
YELPYelp Inc.-5.23%
EVCEntravision Communications Corporation-5.03%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.-4.49%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7391.04

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

Trump claims deal to end Iran war near as Tehran says 'nothing' finalised

US President Donald Trump announced an agreement to end the conflict with Iran is near, contingent on finalizing documents, following ongoing military exchanges between the US and Iran. However, Iranian officials stated the deal is not finalized and criticized the US for making excessive demands, while international calls for de-escalation increased after recent strikes and retaliations.

BBC · 5 minute read

Adobe CFO Dan Durn departs while company also searches for new CEO

Adobe's CFO Dan Durn has left the company as it undertakes a search for a new CEO, indicating significant leadership changes at the software giant.

Business-standard · 3 minute read

European Defence Stock Rally Reverses as Rearmament Funding Doubts Grow

A spectacular rally in European defence stocks halts abruptly as investors question whether governments will deliver on long-term military spending pledges.

Co · 1 minute read

Shadow Markets Signal 35% Surge for SpaceX Stock Debut

Shadow markets are predicting a 35% increase in SpaceX's stock value at its market debut, with online broker IG International indicating a valuation of $2.4 trillion for Elon Musk’s aerospace and AI firm. Traders are optimistic, with SpaceX-tied perpetual futures trading at $180 and prediction markets showing a 70% chance of the company surpassing a $2 trillion valuation on its first trading day.

Straitstimes · 2 minute read

UK Property Insight@ukhpinfo

London Prime is closing on lows seen in 1995 and 2006

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First Squawk@FirstSquawk

IRAN AND ISRAEL BOTH DENY EXISTENCE OF ANY AGREEMENT. - N12 NEWS

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Stock Sharks@stocksharks_

Weekly estimates show U.S. jet fuel production has climbed to record levels as refiners ramp up output in response to soaring jet fuel prices following the February 28 closure of the Strait of Hormuz. @dailychartbook

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ S&P 500 Insider selling usually rises with the market, as higher prices prompt executives to lock in gains. Lately, though, selling has cooled even as equities climb, pointing to a reduced appetite to take profits πŸ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/?s=S%26P+500 h/t @dailychartbook $spx #spx

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Exencial Research Partners@exencial_RP

THE GREAT TECH DIVORCE πŸ’”

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Exencial Research Partners@exencial_RP

Solar & Wind Just Crushed Nuclear on Price – The Chart Wall Street Can’t Ignore

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Exencial Research Partners@exencial_RP

China Just Added a Germany-Sized Power Grid in One Year 70% Solar & Wind

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TonyIsHere4You@TonyIsHere4You

Brah...we all just the same underlying asset now?

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Barchart@Barchart

The beginning of the end? Banks reject $6 Billion Loan from SoftBank 🚨🚨

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

Fertilizer prices are normalizing: New Orleans granular urea prices, the most widely used nitrogen fertilizer, are down to $453.5 per short ton, the lowest since February 6th. This marks a -36% decline from the mid-April peak, when prices surged to the highest since 2022 as the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz effectively halted fertilizer shipments from the Middle East. According to the Fertilizer Institute, countries directly affected by the Iran War account for almost half of all global urea exports. The current decline has been driven by a sharp drop in seasonal demand, as US farmers have largely completed their spring fertilizer applications, leaving the domestic market oversupplied. By comparison, Egypt's benchmark urea price has also plunged to ~$640.0 per short ton, the lowest since late February, though it remains significantly above US prices. The fertilizer shock is easing.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Consumer prices are up +30% since 2020, triple the prior six years' gain

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Polymarket@Polymarket

NEW: U.S. & Canada to delay the opening of a $4.6 billion bridge connecting Michigan & Ontario.

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Exencial Research Partners@exencial_RP

China's food self-sufficiency: 94% (2000) β†’ 66% (2020) β†’ 59% by 2030E. The world's factory now depends on the world's farms.

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Peter Berezin@PeterBerezinBCA

As the chart below shows, the cost per token is now falling. This suggests that companies are becoming increasingly cost-conscious and are turning to cheaper models for their AI needs.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

US inflation is eroding real wages for the first time in over two years

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Electricity prices hit a record high as data center demand strains the grid

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

The cost to ship Gulf crude oil to Asia has surged +878% year-over-year

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Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1

US 10-year Treasuries are offering about the greatest amount of yield versus the S&P 500's earnings yield going back to 2003. Either earnings have to keep outperforming, or bonds will start looking like an increasingly attractive alternative.

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

There's really no sign - whatsoever - that US inflation is overheating. That has implications for the Dollar. Just imagine what'll happen to inflation when the war ends and oil prices fall. I think markets are wrong to price hikes for the Fed. Very wrong. https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/inflation-is-not-overheating

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"Sovereign issuers have sold $504 billion of debt so far this year ... That's more than in the first half of 2020, when nations were paying to support their economies during Covid-19 lockdowns." @alicegledhill1

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

Bank of Japan to Raise Interest Rates to 31-Year High Amid Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 1% from 0.75%, reaching a 31-year high, despite Governor Kazuo Ueda's absence due to health issues. This move aligns with global trends of tightening monetary policies to combat inflation, influenced by the Middle East conflict and a weakened yen, with Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stepping in to manage the transition.

Channelnewsasia · 4 minute read

U.S. Dollar Falls After Trump Calls Off Military Strikes on Iran; Negotiations Progress

The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies after President Trump canceled planned military strikes on Iran, citing progress in negotiations towards a potential deal. This led to a 0.35% drop against the Swiss franc and a 0.21% decrease in the dollar index.

CNBC · 1 minute read

Gold Prices Fall Amid Inflation Concerns and Potential Fed Rate Hikes

Gold prices decreased by 0.5% and are set for a weekly loss of 3.2% due to inflation concerns and potential U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, while U.S. gold futures rose by 2.4%. Tensions regarding a possible peace deal between the U.S. and Iran also impacted prices, with gold losing about 20% since the Iran war began.

CNBC · 2 minute read

Goldman Sachs Lowers 2027 Oil Price Forecast Citing Supply Increase and Demand Weakness

Goldman Sachs has revised its oil price estimate for 2027, predicting Brent crude will average $80 per barrel due to increased production from non-OPEC countries and China's reduced demand as it shifts to alternatives like electric vehicles. The bank also considers a scenario where continued Strait of Hormuz disruptions could push prices over $140 per barrel.

Oilprice · 3 minute read

MacroEdge@MacroEdgeRes

Iran crude exports collapsing per @Rory_Johnston #MacroEdge

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Javier Blas@JavierBlas

β€œβ€¦ The global oil market is incredibly complex, with myriad factorsΒ interacting to keep prices under $100 a barrel. But if I had to pick just one,Β it would be China….”

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News

Sygnum Says Banking Rails Are Moving Past the Stablecoin Winner Narrative

Sygnum, a digital asset technology group, suggests that the financial infrastructure is evolving beyond prioritizing a singular stablecoin, indicating diversification in banking solutions and digital asset transactions.

Binance · 3 minute read

Coinbase to Offer Dedicated Accounts for AI Bots to Trade and Pay Users

Coinbase plans to introduce dedicated accounts allowing AI bots to trade and make payments on behalf of users, expanding its services to incorporate artificial intelligence in financial transactions.

The Block · 3 minute read

unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Visa, $V, and OpenAI are integrating Visa's payment network into ChatGPT to allow autonomous AI agents to make purchases online.

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Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: $2.78 trillion asset manager Citigroup to launch tokenized securities of private companies.

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