📅  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
8:30 AMEmployment Cost Index q/qMedium
9:45 AMChicago PMILow
10:00 AMRevised UoM Consumer SentimentMedium
10:00 AMRevised UoM Inflation ExpectationsMedium
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📊  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
XOM
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
BMO3.63
EPS Est
ABBV
AbbVie Inc.
BMO3.61
EPS Est
CVX
Chevron Corporation
BMO5.57
EPS Est
LIN
Linde plc
BMO4.39
EPS Est
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.
0.35
EPS Est
ETN
Eaton Corporation plc
BMO3.08
EPS Est
SONY
Sony Group Corporation
BMO0.21
EPS Est
ENB
Enbridge Inc.
BMO0.60
EPS Est
NWG
NatWest Group plc
BMO0.47
EPS Est
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
BMO0.95
EPS Est
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📈  Premarket Gainers & Losers

▲ Top GainersCompanyChange
REPLReplimune Group, Inc.+119.04%
AXTIAXT Inc+27.61%
COHUCohu, Inc.+21.77%
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.+12.09%
PTLOPortillo's Inc.+10.61%
NBISNebius Group N.V.+9.54%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.+9.51%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.+9.41%
ICHRIchor Holdings+9.38%
AEHRAehr Test Systems+8.96%
▼ Top LosersCompanyChange
MYGNMyriad Genetics, Inc.-38.92%
AIRSAirSculpt Technologies, Inc.-17.53%
RBLXRoblox Corporation-16.99%
PNPN Smart Energy Limited-14.87%
MTZMasTec, Inc.-14.33%
FLGTFulgent Genetics, Inc.-12.91%
CERSCerus Corporation-12.80%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.-12.41%
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.-11.17%
IONDIonic Digital Inc.-8.93%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point — $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7442.99

 

🔥  Hot Market News

Microsoft shares surge 16% on strong cloud growth and AI outlook

Microsoft shares rose 16% following better-than-expected sales and cloud growth forecasts, driven by a 43% rise in Azure revenue and strong Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption. The company also projected steady cash flow through 2027 and reported a contracted backlog of $678 billion in its cloud business.

Indiatimes · 4 minute read

Meta Falls After Defending AI Bets to Skeptical Investors

Meta Platforms has issued a quarterly revenue forecast of $61 billion to $64 billion, below the average analyst estimate, leading to a 10% decline in share prices. Despite the disappointing financial outlook, CEO Mark Zuckerberg assured investors that heavy investments in AI, including data centers and potential cloud computing business, will eventually lead to substantial returns.

Com · 6 minute read

Samsung chip profit soars 250-fold during relentless AI build-out

Samsung's semiconductor division experienced a 250-fold increase in profit as the demand for AI technology surged, significantly boosting the company's financial performance.

Co · 3 minute read

Rolls-Royce lifts outlook again as demand soars for engines

Rolls-Royce Holdings increased its full-year profit estimate, expecting up to £4.9 billion in operating profits and £4 billion in free cash flow, driven by strong sales in jet engines, military hardware, and AI technologies. The company's performance surpassed analyst expectations, with significant improvements in financial metrics and a strategic push under CEO Tufan Erginbilgic's leadership.

Com · 2 minute read

Goldman Traders Say Stocks Lack ‘Juice’ For Meaningful Breakout

Goldman Sachs traders believe that current stock market conditions do not have the necessary momentum or catalysts to achieve a significant and sustained breakout.

Fa-mag · 3 minute read

US GDP Growth Softens Despite Strong Consumer, Investment

The US economy expanded by an annualized 1.5% in the second quarter, falling short of expectations due to increased imports. However, consumer spending and business investment, particularly in artificial intelligence, showed strength, with consumer spending rising by 3.2% and business investment continuing to drive growth.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

unusual_whales@unusual_whales

BREAKING: Korea is reportedly reconsidering a short selling ban, per Reuters

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Neil Sethi NEW account, please refollow@neilsethinew

CNBC and BBG report Situational Awareness, a hedge fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner which made big bets on artificial intelligence stocks and against software stocks is unwinding to meet margin requirements. The fund grew to as big as $45 billion at the start of July according to CNBC. The FT reports that "Ken Griffin’s Citadel has swooped in to buy a large portion of hedge fund Situational Awareness’ $16B public equity holdings." The fund’s largest holdings at the end of the first quarter included Nebius Group, Sandisk, Micron and CoreWeave, according to filings. All four of those stocks are down more than 35% this month.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

The Magnificent 7 is negative YTD

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

BREAKING: Hedge funds sold the most global information technology equities in the 3 days ending July 28th since data began in 2016. Hedge funds also recorded the largest 3-day reduction in total equity exposure since November 2022, with selling pressure spreading across all sectors. The unwind was primarily driven by short covering in macro products, such as index futures and ETFs. Furthermore, single stocks posted the 5th-largest 3-day sale over the last 5 years. Among regions, North America accounted for the majority of sales, followed by Europe. Hedge funds are aggressively moving to the sidelines.

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

Markets are now in "jilted lover" mode because they didn't get the hike they wanted. This means there'll be lots of verbiage how the Fed is making a big mistake and how inflation will take off. That's nonsense. Underlying inflation is super well behaved... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/should-the-fed-hike

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Barchart@Barchart

BREAKING 🚨: China Chinese Tech Stocks on track for worst month in history 📉 📉

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Thorsten Froehlich@FroehlichThors1

Hardly any fear in private credit - private debt companies mostly outperformed the SPX and the wider financial sector for Juky 2026.

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Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

Stagnation by design. When 0.2% growth in Germany is celebrated because 0.1% was expected, you know the eurozone is in serious trouble. Markets are applauding statistical noise while the real economy flatlines.

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖@MikeZaccardi

GS: We expect significant data center growth acceleration in both the US national and key regional power markets in 2026/27

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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳@C_Barraud

🇭🇰 HK Finance #Stocks Eye Best Month in Two Years as #Tech Hopes Wane - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-29/hk-finance-stocks-eye-best-month-in-two-years-as-tech-hopes-wane

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"If Semis were a sector, it would be the fourth cheapest. It would also have the highest expected earnings growth rate over the next 12 months ... The Semis industry is 22.1% cheaper than the Staples sector. Woah." @mattcerminaro

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

Tariffs were pitched as the fix for America’s trade deficit. Instead… Last 18 Months: –$1.80 trillion deficit in Goods. 18 Months Prior: –$1.74 trillion deficit in Goods. The deficit didn’t shrink. It increased 4%.

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Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1

U.S. investment-grade bond yields have risen to about the highest since 2002 relative to a comparable measure - the earnings yield - on the S&P 500. Bond vigilantes are reasserting themselves, even as corporate profits keep climbing.

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💱  Forex & Commodities

Apollo’s Slok Says Fed’s New Silence Fuels ‘Yo-Yo’ Bond Market

Torsten Slok from Apollo Global Management highlights that the Federal Reserve's abandonment of forward guidance has led to increased bond market volatility, resulting in swings in Treasury yields, with the 30-year yield hitting its highest since 2007.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Goldman Sachs: Diesel Crunch Is Now the Biggest Threat in Oil Markets

Diesel markets are facing a significant supply squeeze due to war-induced refinery outages in the Middle East and Russia, with global refining throughput down by 6.5 million barrels per day compared to July 2025.

Oilprice · 3 minute read

Copper gains as traders weigh Fed rate path, market tightness

Copper prices increased as traders assessed future U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and concerns over supply constraints in the market.

Co · 3 minute read

Ukrainian drones damage major Russian grain export terminal on Kerch Strait, source says

A Ukrainian drone attack on July 30 caused significant damage to a major grain export terminal at Russia's Taman port on the Kerch Strait, leading to shipping disruptions in the Sea of Azov and forcing Russian exporters to redirect grain shipments. This terminal is operated by Demetra, has a capacity of 5 million metric tons, and is part of ongoing agricultural facility attacks between Russia and Ukraine, affecting international wheat prices.

Globalbankingandfinance · 5 minute read

Yen surge spurs speculation Japan intervened in market again

The yen jumped by 2.6% against the US dollar in its largest intraday gain since April, suggesting possible intervention by Japanese officials as the currency remains under pressure despite prior interventions and a recent interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan.

Straitstimes · 3 minute read

Long-dated Treasury yields rise as Fed credibility questioned

Long-dated Treasury bond yields remained high after the Fed decided to hold rates steady, with concerns raised about the Fed's credibility on inflation control. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.66% and the 30-year to 5.21%, its highest since 2007, as investors demanded higher yield premiums, fearing the Fed is lagging in addressing inflation.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Barchart@Barchart

Bank of Japan intervenes again to save the Yen 🇯🇵📈

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Javier Blas@JavierBlas

CHART OF THE DAY: The Rhine river, a key waterway for petroleum refined products, chemical commodities, coal and steel, is closing due to low water levels. As a result, the freight cost for Rhine barges has zoomed to an all-time high. 🔗: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-07-29/the-rhine-is-the-latest-critical-oil-waterway-in-danger-of-closing

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

Today's piece goes through what I think are justified versus unjustified market moves after yesterday's Fed meeting. The Dollar fall is totally justified and - boy - is it tumbling. Dollar weakness is the right call! US curve steepening is NOT justified... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/markets-get-rightsized-on-the-fed

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖@MikeZaccardi

US Dollar Index $USD $DXY lowest since mid-June... back under the 100.6 polarity spot 100.02

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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳@C_Barraud

🇨🇳🛢 #China’s Crude Stockpiles Stay Robust Despite Iran War Drawdowns - Bloomberg *China’s massive crude inventories remain robust even after oil refiners tapped stockpiles to offset the impact of the Iran war, but draws could accelerate next month if Middle East deliveries are delayed. *The nation’s inventories have declined by about 54 million barrels since early May to around 1.2 billion barrels, according to data compiled by Kpler.

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Thorsten Froehlich@FroehlichThors1

Oil tanker companies are starting to take the p*ss.

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Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta

You know something is fundamentally broken when yields surge and your currency can’t rally. This is one of the defining macro signals of our time: America’s debt burden is turning higher yields into evidence of fiscal stress. None of us own enough hard assets. https://tavicosta.substack.com/p/a-wall-of-debt

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🪙  Crypto News / Prediction Markets / AI

JPMorgan Warns Fading CLARITY Act Odds Hurt Crypto Markets

JPMorgan analysts warn that the decreasing likelihood of the CLARITY Act's passage poses a threat to crypto markets by allowing traditional finance to outpace public crypto networks. Senators still need to resolve issues on ethics, stablecoin yield, DeFi rules, and anti-money laundering before a vote, with the Senate recess causing further delays.

Benzinga · 2 minute read

Wall Street Takes Control of the Crypto Market with a Historic Record

A Wintermute report reveals a significant transformation in the digital asset market driven by institutional investors, who now account for 72% of OTC trading volume. This shift has decreased Bitcoin's volatility and led to concentrated investments in fewer assets, with derivatives and tokenization gaining momentum as Wall Street enhances its role in crypto trading.

Cointribune · 5 minute read

Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Smallest Monthly Inflows on Record in July

Bitcoin ETFs are set to have their lowest monthly net inflows ever, with $205 million in July, a significant drop compared to the net outflows of $2.43 billion in May and $4.52 billion in June. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs have performed slightly better, attracting $342.85 million in net inflows as institutional demand for crypto ETFs remains limited amid ongoing market volatility.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Bitcoin's quantum plan assumes some algorithms break. AI just weakened one in 60 hours

Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview model discovered an attack that significantly reduces the effective key strength of HAWK, a digital signature scheme under consideration as a replacement for quantum-vulnerable cryptographic methods. The finding highlights the increasing improvements in cryptographic attacks and raises concerns over the future security of digital signature schemes.

Cryptonews · 2 minute read

Polymarket@Polymarket

JUST IN: OpenAI to cut prices on its smaller GPT-5.6 models by up to 80% as businesses scrutinize rising AI costs.

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Rand Group@randgroup

Good news. Institutions really are buying the dip. Bad news. They bought it from you.

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Rand Group@randgroup

Massive Binance Stocks growth, capturing 27% of the global tokenized stock market within weeks of launching. The new generations had enough with banks and Wall Street.

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🛠️  Free Market Tools

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