πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
8:15 AMADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeMedium
9:00 AMFed Chairman Warsh SpeaksHigh
10:00 AMISM Manufacturing PricesMedium
10:00 AMISM Manufacturing PMIHigh
3:15 PMPresident Trump SpeaksMedium
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
GIS
General Mills, Inc.
BMO0.80
EPS Est
FDS
FactSet Research Systems Inc.
BMO4.45
EPS Est
MSM
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
BMO1.26
EPS Est
UNF
UniFirst Corporation
BMO1.91
EPS Est
GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
AMC0.60
EPS Est
LNN
Lindsay Corporation
BMO1.21
EPS Est
FC
Franklin Covey Co.
AMC0.36
EPS Est
BSET
Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated
AMC0.23
EPS Est
CULP
Culp, Inc.
AMC-0.11
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.+26.05%
AKBAAkebia Therapeutics, Inc.+16.22%
JBIOJade Biosciences, Inc.+13.07%
APDAir Products and Chemicals, Inc.+11.64%
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.+11.44%
CLYMClimb Bio, Inc.+8.72%
CCOICogent Communications Holdings, Inc.+7.99%
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.+7.93%
AVEXAEVEX Corp.+7.13%
ALBAlbemarle Corporation+7.01%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
SOCSable Offshore Corp.-43.62%
NVCTNuvectis Pharma, Inc.-26.92%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation-20.41%
MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.-12.98%
PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.-8.91%
FULH. B. Fuller Company-8.67%
VSHVishay Intertechnology, Inc.-8.67%
TCMDTactile Systems Technology, Inc.-7.00%
MSTRStrategy Inc-6.87%
EPRXEupraxia Pharmaceuticals Inc.-6.68%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7420.32

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

Trump briefed on all-out Iran war options, but chooses talks

President Trump considered resuming large-scale military strikes against Iran but decided to continue diplomatic negotiations, delaying any military action to avoid derailing discussions on Iran's nuclear program. Despite recent hostilities, Trump supports negotiations beyond the current deadline and is open to limited retaliatory strikes if necessary.

Indiatimes · 3 minute read

US government lifts export ban on Anthropic's advanced AI tools

The US Department of Commerce has lifted export restrictions on Anthropic's AI models, Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, after Anthropic addressed security risks and agreed to collaborate on future releases. These models had been banned since 12 June over concerns they could be exploited by hackers.

BBC · 2 minute read

Anthropic launches AI drug discovery program, joining tech giants in betting on healthcare

Anthropic announced its initiation of an internal drug discovery program aimed at developing AI tools for drugmakers, with a focus on treatments for neglected diseases. The move is part of their effort to integrate deeper into the healthcare market, positioning themselves alongside other tech giants in the industry.

CNBC · 2 minute read

Nike Earnings: Stock Slips Overnight As CEO Admits Brand Is β€˜Not Living Up To Full Potential’

Nike's Q4 2026 earnings exceeded expectations despite facing weakened demand in key categories like Nike Sportswear and Jordan Streetwear, resulting in increased discounting and lower wholesale orders. Meanwhile, pre-tournament sales for the FIFA World Cup 2026 surged to 2.5 times the levels of 2022, while sales in Greater China fell 12% with a noted decline in footwear, apparel, and equipment sales.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Trump's Crypto Ventures Earned Him Nearly $1.2 Billion While Investors Lose

President Donald Trump made almost $1.2 billion from his cryptocurrency businesses last year, with significant revenue from World Liberty Financial and CIC Digital LLC, despite the crypto assets depreciating in value post-sale. Additionally, Trump profited from selling branded merchandise and saw major growth in international real estate deals, while his overall net worth increased to $6 billion.

Apnews · 5 minute read

CIA Aims to Speed Up Tech Adoption as AI Is β€˜Rewriting’ Conflict

CIA Director John Ratcliffe announced plans to enhance the agency's focus on artificial intelligence and quantum computing, emphasizing their impact on geopolitics and the urgency of staying ahead of international rivals. Ratcliffe highlighted the CIA's recent technology acquisitions and organizational changes to speed up the adoption of cutting-edge technologies and reinforce partnerships with private companies.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

EU to Introduce €3 Customs Tax on Small Parcels to Curb Chinese Imports

The European Commission plans to implement a €3 customs tax on small parcels to reduce low-value imports from China that have been negatively impacting Europe's high streets and retailers. This initiative aims to address the quadrupling of parcel imports and promote fair competition by removing the 'de minimis' exemption that allowed purchases under €150 to be duty-free.

The Guardian · 3 minute read

NASA gives more lunar lander contracts to three US companies

NASA has awarded contracts totaling about $590 million to Astrobotic Technology Inc, Firefly Aerospace Inc, and Intuitive Machines Inc to send robotic landers to the moon, as part of efforts to establish a lunar base by the end of the decade. The agency's plans also include potentially sending a test version of its Mars rover to the moon, investing more than $20 billion over the next seven years in its initiative under the Artemis programme.

Straitstimes · 2 minute read

Shutterstock Shares Fall After Getty Says It Will End Merger

Shares of Shutterstock Inc. plunged about 30% in after-hours trading after Getty Images Holdings Inc. said it would cancel a planned merger due to a ruling from UK regulators.

Ndtvprofit · 3 minute read

Gallup@Gallup

A record-high 60% of Russians interviewed between March and May said their local economic conditions are getting worse.

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

DRAM and NAND prices have spiked hundreds of percent over the past year. That means higher costs for data centers, smartphones, laptops, gaming consoles, and anything else that needs storage and memory. β€œThis is a hundred-year flood." - Tim Cook Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_-VTZ05d14&t=45s

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

This is what a supply shortage looks like: Apple needs the chips. Micron has the chips. Micron sets the price. Micron’s net income is up 15x in a year (to $28 billion) and is expected to surpass Apple’s next quarter. Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_-VTZ05d14&t=373s

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

JPMAM: The employment advantage for recent grads inverted negative.. and it started well before ChatGPT

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

Rubner Citadel: May and June shattered retail trading records

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

The AI Income Squeeze From All Sides The assumptions behind the AI mania are increasingly challenged. Cheap models, tighter corporate budgets, and regulatory constraints are already squeezing a technology priced for exponential growth. https://bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/the-ai-income-squeeze-from-all-sides

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

Likely to see very soft m/m inflation prints over the next couple of months as disinflation emerges.

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Barchart@Barchart

Roughly 20% of all U.S. tax revenue is used to pay interest on debt, approaching an all-time high 🚨 Probably Fine? πŸ€”

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

U.S. money supply is growing at its fastest pace in 5 years.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Just eight states saw birth rates rise in the last 10 years

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Half the world’s electricity comes from the U.S. and China

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok says heavy debt issuance by AI hyperscalers is pulling investor demand away from U.S. Treasurys

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

Just a quick reminder that analysts *already* expect the next 5 years of earnings growth to be the most extraordinary in history. And just how implausible the macro reality has to be to get there. h/t @thedailyshot & @Callum_Thomas https://x.com/BobEUnlimited/status/2059943546841453051?s=20

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Chinese stocks are underperforming by most in 25 years

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Morgan Stanley has said that salt is the new oil, per CNBC

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Javier Blas@JavierBlas

Morgan Stanley nails it: β€œβ€¦ Strip away the narrative for a moment and read only the [oil] prices. They describe a market that has weakened across the board…”

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Barchart@Barchart

Margin Debt as a % of M2 is now at its 2nd highest level in history, just behind the Dot Com Bubble 🚨🚨

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

Breakeven inflation rates continue plunging GS

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

Last "week's net selling in US Info Tech - in both $ and % terms - was the largest in more than 10 years (-4.0 z score)." -GS Stankard

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

Russia to import gasoline as Ukrainian strikes force Putin to use reserves

The Kremlin confirmed Tuesday that Russia is in talks to import gasoline from abroad, an extraordinary step for one of the world's largest oil exporters, as Ukrainian drone strikes continue to disrupt the country.

Politico · 1 minute read

Japanese Yen Crisis May Impact US Treasury Market, Warns deVere Group CEO

As the yen hits its weakest point against the dollar since 1986, deVere Group CEO Nigel Green warns that Japan's potential sustained intervention to support its currency could lead to the liquidation of US Treasury holdings, posing a risk to the global debt market.

Com · 3 minute read

South Korean Won Slides Toward Weakest Since 2009 as Foreigners Sell Kospi for Eighth Straight Day

The South Korean won has depreciated to its lowest level since 2009 as foreign investors continue to sell shares in the Kospi index for the eighth consecutive day.

Binance · 3 minute read

Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

Japan's recent interventions have been absolutely massive. They've also been totally ineffective. The Yen is now weaker than it was in 2024, which was the last big round of intervention before 2026. Intervention can't work as long as BoJ is buying JGBs... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-quiet-implosion-of-japan

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

Two weeks ago I wrote this "Requiem for $200 oil." What matters isn't that the oil bulls were wrong. What matters is why they were wrong. Global oil markets are way more resilient than $200 oil gives them credit for. An important lesson for the future... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/requiem-for-200-oil

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

Five months ago: "The Dollar is doomed. Gold and Silver are going to the moon." Five months later: US Dollar: +7% Gold: -26% Silver: -50% Narratives follow prices far more often than prices follow narratives. Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_-VTZ05d14&t=1658s

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Karen Braun@kannbwx

🌾USDA projects U.S. farmers will harvest just 32.1 million acres of wheat in 2026. That would be a 149-year low, the smallest harvested area since 1877.

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Neil Sethi NEW account, please refollow@neilsethinew

BBG: Bullish dollar positions are just below the 3+ year high from Jan 2025.

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"Tough week for global gold ETFs last week. They registered net outflows of US$4.7bn, with all regions seeing outflows but led by North America." @KrishanGopaul

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

Oat prices have collapsed... cheapest since 2016... down 70% from the 2022 high... Not that it matters... prices at the grocery store ain't gonna budge...

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News

Bitcoin Falls to 21-Month Low on Strategy, Rate-Hike Fears

Bitcoin fell to $57,742 in Asia trading, marking its lowest level since September 2024, as expectations for higher US interest rates and uncertainties regarding the buying habits of corporate investor Strategy Inc. impacted market sentiment. The cryptocurrency has dropped over 50% from its peak above $126,000 last October, with investors pulling significant funds from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs, amid fears of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Circle Stock Dives as Coinbase, BlackRock and Visa Back Open USD Stablecoin

Over 140 companies, including Coinbase, Visa, and Mastercard, have collaborated to launch Open USD (OUSD), a stablecoin intended to create a shared digital payments infrastructure. This news impacted USDC issuer Circle’s stock price, which fell by 16% on the day, while Open USD, led by Open Standard and CEO Zach Abrams, promises to address industry fees and governance issues.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Chinese exile once linked to Trump strategist gets 30-year sentence in $1 billion fraud

Guo Wengui, a Chinese businessman and former property tycoon, was sentenced to 30 years in a US prison for running a billion dollar scam, using funds from his supporters to finance a lavish lifestyle. He plans to appeal the conviction, maintaining his innocence, while his lawyer argues that the sentence is excessive.

BBC · 3 minute read

New York Life's $800 billion asset manager makes tokenization debut with Centrifuge fund

New York Life Investment Management has partnered with Centrifuge to offer its first tokenized product, the NYLIM Anemoy U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Segregated Portfolio, allowing eligible investors to access a high-yield corporate bond strategy via blockchain technology. The move is part of a broader trend among asset managers to explore tokenization for increased transparency and market access.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: Major financial firms including Visa, Mastercard, BlackRock, Coinbase, and American Express to launch joint crypto stablecoin called $OUSD.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

BREAKING: CME Group to launch futures on more than 50 major U.S. stocks. Tradable underlyings include Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, NVIDIA and SpaceX.

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