πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
10:00 AMNAHB Housing Market IndexLow
4:00 PMTIC Long-Term PurchasesLow
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
BMO3.59
EPS Est
KEYS
Keysight Technologies, Inc.
AMC2.32
EPS Est
BIDU
Baidu, Inc.
BMO11.43
EPS Est
AS
Amer Sports, Inc.
BMO0.31
EPS Est
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
AMC3.07
EPS Est
TOL
Toll Brothers, Inc.
AMC2.58
EPS Est
JHX
James Hardie Industries plc
AMC0.30
EPS Est
XP
XP Inc.
AMC2.53
EPS Est
CAVA
CAVA Group, Inc.
AMC0.17
EPS Est
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
BMO1.16
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
GEMIGemini Space Station, Inc.+28.52%
MICCThe Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.+12.98%
STROSutro Biopharma, Inc.+11.79%
PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.+10.02%
GLOBGlobant S.A.+9.86%
FIGFIGMA INC+9.73%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY+9.12%
BOTRoboStrategy, Inc.+6.31%
BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.+6.09%
BGINBgin Blockchain Limited+5.99%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
NMAXNewsmax, Inc.-11.71%
BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.-11.45%
RUMRumble Inc.-11.26%
POETPOET Technologies Inc.-10.65%
ALMUAeluma, Inc.-10.54%
WOLFWolfspeed, Inc.-10.23%
WYFIWhiteFiber, Inc.-9.97%
SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.-9.79%
CVCapsoVision, Inc.-9.59%
HTFLHeartflow, Inc.-9.27%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7409.65

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

Bond Traders See Shift Toward New Era of Higher Yields

The anticipation of elevated borrowing costs is shaping up as US 30-year bond yields neared a two-decade high, driven by inflation concerns linked to rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. The bond market turmoil has led traders to foresee a potential interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve as early as December, contrary to earlier expectations of rate cuts, emphasizing the impact of the Middle East conflict on the global financial landscape.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

β€˜Bond King’ Gundlach Says Fed Rate Cuts Are Effectively Impossible

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed doubts about the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates due to persistent inflation and rising oil prices, while also raising concerns about high stock valuations and the private credit market.

Bloomingbit · 2 minute read

China's economy slows sharply as investment resumes declines

China's economic growth has decelerated significantly as investment levels continue to drop, indicating increased challenges for the country's economic stability and development.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

EU Plans to Diversify Critical Component Suppliers to Reduce Reliance on China

The European Union is drafting rules to require companies to buy critical components from at least three different suppliers, aiming to lessen dependence on China in sectors like chemicals and industrial machinery. The proposed legislation would limit firms to sourcing 30% to 40% of components from a single supplier, and EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic is considering tariffs on Chinese goods to address trade imbalances.

Straitstimes · 2 minute read

Volatile Chipmaker Stocks Emerge as Key Driver of S&P 500 Rally

Chipmakers are increasingly dominating the S&P 500 Index, contributing significantly to its gains in 2026, driven by demand for chips powering AI. However, a recent selloff highlighted concerns over the market's durability, as chip stocks, now making up 18% of the index, pose a risk of exacerbating broader market selloffs if demand cools.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Iran's Seizure of Chinese Security Ship Shows Its Favors for Friends Have Limits

Iran seized a Chinese security ship, indicating that its alliances have boundaries and it will act assertively even towards countries that are considered allies under certain circumstances.

Msn · 3 minute read

Activist Elliott Builds Big Stake in Life-Science Tools Supplier Bio-Rad

Elliott Management has acquired a significant stake in Bio-Rad Laboratories, a company that provides life-science research and clinical diagnostic products.

Msn · 3 minute read

First Squawk@FirstSquawk

CITADEL KEN GRIFFIN WARNS AGENTIC AI IS AUTOMATING ELITE FINANCE JOBS IN HOURS, NOT MONTHS

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Neil Sethi@neilksethi

BBG: "Bloomberg News interviews with 32 investment managers across the US, Asia and Europe, including at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Amundi SA and BMO Global Asset Management, were overwhelmingly bullish. Investors are particularly upbeat about equities, with 80% expecting them to outperform other asset classes such as commodities or bonds over the next three to six months. "The top investment choice for about half of these buy-side professionals is the megacap tech and artificial intelligence stocks at the heart of a seven-week, record-setting surge in the S&P 500 Index." Just one each choose bonds or cash. β€œEquities all day,” said Sadiq Adatia, chief investment officer at BMO. β€œI don’t think it’s even close.”

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"The US has never entered a recession with this little fiscal buffer" -Apollo Slok

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Sam Gatlin@sam_gatlin

Shoutout to @JoshYoung for pointing out the onshore drillers in yesterday's video. These stocks look as attractive as anything in the energy sector.

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Outbreak Updates@outbreakupdates

WHO declares Ebola virus outbreak a PHEIC, first since Monkeypox Public health emergency of international concern

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Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

Even with traffic through the #Hormuz Strait reduced to a fraction of normal levels, a large part of the shortfall has been covered by alternative routes, other exporters (mostly US and Gulf), and strategic inventories. The lesson is not that #Hormuz is irrelevant but that its

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Alec Stapp@AlecStapp

It’s the phones

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Alec Stapp@AlecStapp

This was surprising:

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Ryan Detrick, CMT@RyanDetrick

Another thing they don't tell us? The US poverty rate continues to be in a structural downtrend.

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

Investors have never used this much leverage: US margin debt surged +$83 billion in April, to a record $1.3 trillion. Over the last 12 months, margin debt has risen +$453 billion, or +53%. As a result, margin debt is up to a record 5.2% of US GDP. This is ~3 percentage points above both the pre-2008 Financial Crisis level and well above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. Market leverage is through the roof.

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

China is reducing its reliance on foreign AI chips: China's AI chip self-sufficiency ratio is up to a record 41%. This measures the proportion of domestic AI chip demand met by locally produced chips, rather than imported ones. This ratio has QUADRUPLED over the last 5 years. The AI chip self-sufficiency ratio is now projected to more than DOUBLE to ~85% by 2030, according to Morgan Stanley. In other words, China could meet nearly all of its own AI chip demand domestically within 5 years. China's AI chip independence is accelerating.

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

Data today continues to show that US manufacturing is weak and softening. Quite the contrast to all the folks around here desperately trying to make the case that some kind of boom is happening.

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

Dollar steady as oil climbs, bond selloff deepens

The dollar was on the defensive against most major currencies on Monday as fresh Middle East tensions lifted oil prices and a global bond selloff stoked rate-hike β€Œbets, while yen weakness kept traders on alert for a possible intervention.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Gold slips to 1-1/2-month low as Middle East tensions lift oil, cloud rate outlook

Gold prices dropped to their lowest in over a month due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that increased oil prices and inflation fears, resulting in expectations for prolonged higher interest rates. A drone strike in the UAE contributed to these tensions, while markets anticipated a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end.

Indiatimes · 2 minute read

Japanese Yen weakens to over two-week low vs USD on Iran tensions; USD/JPY retakes 159.00

The USD/JPY pair scales higher for the sixth consecutive day – also marking the seventh day of a positive move in the previous eight – and climbs to a two-and-a-half-week high during the Asian session. Spot prices now look to build on the momentum above the 159.00 mark and remain well supported by a broadly firmer US Dollar.

FXStreet · 3 minute read

Josh Young@JoshYoung

Strait of Hormuz: still closed

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Against All Odds Research@JasonP138

Chicago Wheat Futures ($ZW_F) are now up roughly 27% YTD, and this move does not look exhausted yet. The chart continues to make higher highs and higher lows while momentum keeps building.

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Against All Odds Research@JasonP138

Soybean oil, canola, and seed oils across the board continue to show strength. Between biofuel demand, energy inflation, weather issues, and tightening global supply chains, this market has quietly become one of the strongest trends in commodities.

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News

Bitcoin Hits Two-Week Low As Liquidations Top Half A Billion

Bitcoin fell to $76,711, its lowest since May 1, as geopolitical tensions from the US-Iran conflict affected market sentiment, resulting in $500 million worth of cryptocurrency liquidations. The uncertainty also led to significant outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and was accompanied by declines in other cryptocurrencies like Ether and Solana.

Indiatimes · 2 minute read

Pay Bitcoin, Sail Through Hormuz? Iran Reportedly Proposes Insurance Platform For Ships Passing Through The Strait

Iran has proposed managing the Strait of Hormuz through an insurance framework called 'Hormuz Safe,' allowing for marine insurance issued via Bitcoin payments, potentially generating over $10 billion in revenue. Despite a blockade following the death of Iran's Supreme Leader, commercial traffic can still pass except for ships linked to Iran's adversaries, with China working to reopen the Strait.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Kalshi Crypto@Kalshi_Crypto

JUST IN: Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund buys $550M worth of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF

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πŸ› οΈ  Free Market Tools

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