📅  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
8:30 AMCore Retail Sales m/mMedium
8:30 AMPhilly Fed Manufacturing IndexMedium
8:30 AMRetail Sales m/mMedium
8:30 AMUnemployment ClaimsMedium
9:00 PMPresident Trump SpeaksMedium
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📊  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
BMO3.89
EPS Est
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
BMO4.92
EPS Est
GE
GE Aerospace
BMO1.86
EPS Est
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
AMC0.79
EPS Est
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
BMO1.28
EPS Est
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
AMC2.50
EPS Est
PLD
Prologis, Inc.
BMO0.75
EPS Est
USB
U.S. Bancorp
BMO1.29
EPS Est
STT
State Street Corporation
BMO3.34
EPS Est
CFG
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
BMO1.25
EPS Est
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📈  Premarket Gainers & Losers

▲ Top GainersCompanyChange
ATAIAtaiBeckley Inc.+52.24%
GHRSGH Research PLC+14.19%
PESIPerma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.+7.89%
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.+7.32%
CYTKCytokinetics, Incorporated+5.83%
GFUZGeneral Fusion Group Ltd.+5.55%
DFTXDefinium Therapeutics, Inc.+5.10%
NUVBNuvation Bio Inc.+4.75%
CWHCamping World Holdings, Inc.+4.42%
PREPrenetics Global Limited+4.39%
▼ Top LosersCompanyChange
ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc-35.29%
ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.-9.98%
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.-8.32%
SNDKSandisk Corporation-5.49%
NBNioCorp Developments Ltd.-5.26%
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.-5.06%
CRMDCorMedix Inc.-4.99%
GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.-4.74%
FORMFormFactor, Inc.-4.60%
OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings, Inc.-4.44%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point — $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7560.38

 

🔥  Hot Market News

Korea’s AI Stock Rout Becoming a Lesson on Leveraged Excess

Korean stocks in the AI sector have experienced a significant downturn, serving as a cautionary example of the risks associated with excessive leverage in investment strategies.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

China economic growth falls sharply, missing target

China's GDP growth slowed to 4.3% in the second quarter, impacted by weak domestic demand and rising oil prices due to the Iran war, despite a strong export performance. Retail sales showed modest improvement, while new home prices continued to decline and the economy contends with a property market slump and weak consumer spending.

BBC · 3 minute read

Lithuanian President Warns of Potential Russian Attacks on Baltic Infrastructure

Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda stated that intelligence hints at possible Russian attacks on critical infrastructure in the Baltic states or Poland, though no specific locations or times were identified. Russia dismissed these claims, alleging they serve to justify NATO's military buildup in the region.

Apnews · 5 minute read

Meta's $250 Billion Show Traders Believe AI Plans

Meta has experienced a significant valuation increase of $250 billion as traders exhibit confidence in the company's strategic plans focused on artificial intelligence.

Advisorperspectives · 3 minute read

ASML works to ship chipmaking tools faster to meet AI demand

ASML is accelerating the delivery of its chipmaking tools to accommodate the rising demand driven by advancements in artificial intelligence technologies.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

Dubai Billionaire Mohamed Alabbar Plans $20 Billion Investment in Syria

Mohamed Alabbar, founder of Emaar Properties, intends to invest up to $20 billion in real estate and tourism developments in Syria, focusing heavily on residential and mixed-use projects near Damascus and tourism on the Mediterranean coast. This move marks significant private-sector involvement in Syria’s post-war reconstruction, with construction potentially starting within a year, pending approvals and partnerships.

Empiremagazineafrica · 2 minute read

Warren Buffett tells CNBC he initiated Berkshire Hathaway’s investment in Alphabet

Warren Buffett revealed he initiated Berkshire Hathaway’s significant investment in Alphabet, despite Greg Abel being the CEO. Buffett expressed regret over not investing in Alphabet earlier and highlighted the challenges tech companies face with AI infrastructure costs. He also shared that while he values Alphabet, Apple remains one of his favorite investments.

CNBC · 3 minute read

Steve Hou@stevehou

When you press that sell button on SK Hynix, I hope you think about this picture

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Kansas City Fed@KansasCityFed

📢 NEW RESEARCH: Although labor force growth has been strong in recent years, this trend is unlikely to continue. https://bit.ly/4eKCAKo

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Barchart@Barchart

Fund Managers are now the most long stocks since December 2024 🤯 👀

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Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: BlackRock officially becomes first investment firm in history to surpass $15 trillion in assets under management.

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Neil Sethi NEW account, please refollow@neilsethinew

Interesting FT article which argues that the US is slipping towards autocracy due to the rising wealth inequality. The massive gains in assets, led by equities, comes as the share of wages as a % of US gross domestic income fell steadily for 40 years before stabilizing post-GFC. The Bank for International Settlements suggests in its latest annual economic report that if AI replaced much of human labor, this metric could fall to 20 per cent. In any event, as @C_Barraud points out "I]in an economy where asset prices rise faster than wages, owning no capital becomes a structural disadvantage."

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Neil Sethi NEW account, please refollow@neilsethinew

What were they buying? BofA says clients "bought stocks in 7 of 11 sectors, led by Tech and Financials, which both saw their 2nd largest inflows ever (93rd and 98th percentile weeks, respectively, when normalized by S&P 500 Tech & Financials market caps). Energy saw its biggest inflows since March ‘23 following a re-escalation of geopolitical tensions."

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Neil Sethi NEW account, please refollow@neilsethinew

BofA clients also accelerated their buying of large caps while continuing to buy small caps at a record pace.

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Exencial Research Partners@exencial_RP

$12B Warning Shot: Huawei's Massive 50% Slice of China's AI Future

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"MSCI Europe index members are tipped for aggregate earnings gains of 11.5%, the most since the first quarter of 2023" @mikamsika @MeleyChloe

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

If The Official Numbers Are This Soft… China’s economy remains in a deleveraging malaise that if anything is worsening. Were it not for some life from chips exports, it's likely the economy as a whole would be contracting right now. https://bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/if-the-official-numbers-are-this

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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳@C_Barraud

🇺🇸🇨🇳 The real AI race may no longer be at the frontier – Tech Crunch *Chinese open-weight models accounted for 41% of downloads on Hugging Face this spring, surpassing U.S. models ⚠ https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/14/the-real-ai-race-may-no-longer-be-at-the-frontier-open-models-hugging-face/

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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳@C_Barraud

🇨🇳 #China’s GDP Price Gauge Turns Positive After Years of Deflation - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-15/china-s-gdp-price-gauge-turns-positive-after-years-of-deflation

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💱  Forex & Commodities

Chile Convenes Emergency Mining Talks as Storm Looms Over Copper Region

Chile's Economy and Mining Minister Daniel Mas held emergency talks with major mining companies to review contingency plans as a significant winter storm threatens heavy rains and disruptions in key copper-producing areas. The storm, expected to bring prolonged rains, poses risks to mining operations, with central Chile and the Atacama and Coquimbo regions being the most vulnerable.

Mining · 2 minute read

Suzuki Is Turning Cow Manure Into Fuel for Cars, and India Wants 1000 New Plants to Convert More of It

A Suzuki-backed project in Gujarat, India, processes 88 tons of cattle waste daily into renewable compressed natural gas, powering up to 700 vehicles each day. The initiative is part of India's strategy to diversify its energy supply and reduce fuel imports, while also supporting farmers and producing organic fertilizer.

Roadandtrack · 2 minute read

China Slashes Oil Refining After Crude Imports Collapse

Chinese refinery throughput in June fell by 17.7% year-on-year to 12.47 million barrels per day, the lowest since March 2020, due to decreased crude oil imports and refinery maintenance in response to rising input prices and softening domestic demand. Chinese imports of crude oil also dropped to a decade-low, plunging by 41.3% from the previous year, as disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz inflated costs.

Oilprice · 3 minute read

Handful of Vessels Crossing Hormuz as US Blockade Takes Effect

Hours after the US resumed a naval blockade of Iran, vessels including a US-sanctioned supertanker and a Greek-owned Suezmax navigated the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting ongoing tensions and security risks for ships in the region. Iran and the UAE reported attacks on vessels, while President Trump retreated from imposing a proposed 20% charge on cargo through the strait.

Indiatimes · 2 minute read

Japanese Retail Traders Boost Dollar Shorts to Most Since 2008

Japanese retail traders have significantly increased their net dollar short positions to ¥2.79 trillion amid speculation of official intervention weakening the dollar against the yen, marking the largest short position since 2008. Despite the Ministry of Finance spending ¥11.73 trillion to strengthen the yen, it has weakened by over 4% since May.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

The dollar is unsinkable for the foreseeable future

Central banks are encountering a dilemma with their foreign exchange reserves, as they are challenged by the need to balance reserve adequacy with the risks associated with holding large amounts of foreign currency amid global market uncertainties.

Omfif · 3 minute read

Brad Setser@Brad_Setser

p.s. great chart from the FT -- showing the limited flow of rare earths out of China post Busan https://www.ft.com/content/a5018a00-0f96-4b39-b82f-c4ccd5e929f7?syn-25a6b1a6=1

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Lauri Myllyvirta@laurimyllyvirta

EVs displaced an estimated 1.4 mn barrels/day in the first half of the year, up more than 40% year-on-year.

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The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter

BREAKING: Iran warns that in direct response to the US naval blockade on Iranian oil and gas exports, "other export routes for oil and gas which serve the interests of America and its allies" will also be closed, including the UAE Fujairah pipeline and Saudi East-West pipeline, per Tasnim. Iran adds "oil and gas exports from the region: either for everyone or for no one."

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

Oil refiners are making historic profits. The 3-2-1 WTI refining margin is up to a record $59 per barrel. This is a key metric of how much profit refiners generate from turning crude oil into fuels like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Refining margins have nearly tripled since the start of 2026. By comparison, this metric average ~$10 per barrel between 1985 and 2021 and never exceeded $30 per barrel during the 2004-2008 refining boom. The surge reflects a severe shortage of global refining capacity, as the Iran War, attacks on Russian refineries, and lower fuel exports have tightened supply. As a result, an estimated ~10% of global refining capacity, or ~8 million barrels per day, is offline, keeping gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices elevated even with crude oil trading ~$40 per barrel below its March high. World refiners are cashing in on a tightening oil market.

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🪙  Crypto News / Prediction Markets / AI

OpenAI’s first hardware device is reportedly a screenless speaker that can move

OpenAI is developing a mobile smart speaker with integrated AI capabilities, designed to be screen-free and act as a 'humanlike AI companion' in homes. The device will have a personality and learn from its owner, but its development is tangled in a legal dispute with Apple, which accuses OpenAI of stealing trade secrets, a claim OpenAI denies.

Techcrunch · 3 minute read

Bitcoin Giant Strategy Isn't Panicking—Unless BTC Crashes to $10K: CEO

Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy plans to resume buying Bitcoin once its preferred shares recover to $100 par value, as CEO Phong Le outlines a shift to a full digital capital platform. The firm has paused Bitcoin purchases since June, raising $467 million through a common-stock sale to build a $3 billion cash reserve, while focusing on restoring the value of its preferred shares, Stretch (STRC), to enable future fundraising.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Stanford Study Says Polymarket Crypto Bets Are Being Manipulated

A report suggests that traders on the Polymarket platform might be engaging in manipulative practices to influence the outcome of cryptocurrency bets.

Msn · 3 minute read

DTCC Moves Tokenized Securities Into Live Trading, Marking Milestone for Wall Street Blockchain Push

The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) has successfully transitioned tokenized securities into live trading, representing a significant advancement in the integration of blockchain technology within mainstream Wall Street financial systems.

Binance · 3 minute read

Open USD Project Could Challenge Circle’s USDC Model, Says CoinShares

CoinShares reported that the launch of the stablecoin project Open USD could challenge Circle's USDC by redistributing reserve earnings to partners instead of the issuer, potentially impacting USDC's network maintenance costs and competitive standing.

Kucoin · 1 minute read

a16z@a16z

"Wasted tokens are the new headcount bloat." Most firms have thin layer of doers at the bottom, with the rest of the org stacked in management. Token usage follows a similar structure, with 10% of tokens shipping useful output, and 90% wasted on unproductive loops. Hebbia CEO George Sivulka on why AI mimics middle management, and how firms should respond: http://a16z.news/p/the-next-ai-goldrush-tokens-loops

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"ByteDance researchers found that newer AI models learn on the job about twice as fast as models from just three months earlier." @ExponentialView

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Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: $111,111,000 worth of crypto shorts liquidated in the past 60 minutes.

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