๐Ÿ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
10:00 AMRevised UoM Consumer SentimentMedium
10:00 AMRevised UoM Inflation ExpectationsMedium
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๐Ÿ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
APOG
Apogee Enterprises, Inc.
BMO0.41
EPS Est
CNVS
Cineverse Corp.
BMO-0.12
EPS Est
XAIR
Beyond Air, Inc.
BMO-0.45
EPS Est
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๐Ÿ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

โ–ฒ Top GainersCompanyChange
TECHBio-Techne Corp+19.24%
MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.+17.88%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.+17.74%
SNDKSandisk Corporation+16.95%
JLHLJulong Holding Limited+14.34%
AYIAcuity Inc.+13.90%
WDCWestern Digital Corporation+13.23%
BBBlackBerry Limited+12.76%
VELOVelo3D, Inc.+12.52%
STXSeagate Technology Holdings PLC+11.86%
โ–ผ Top LosersCompanyChange
SPRYARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc.-24.57%
FULH. B. Fuller Company-14.09%
NUVBNuvation Bio Inc.-13.16%
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.-12.13%
MBINMerchants Bancorp-9.57%
FNKOFunko, Inc.-7.61%
ARQQArqit Quantum Inc.-7.16%
PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc.-6.38%
LEN.BLennar Corporation-5.88%
OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.-5.59%
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๐ŸŽฏ  Gamma Flip Point โ€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7404.94

 

๐Ÿ”ฅ  Hot Market News

Crude oil price spikes after Iran drone strike on Singapore-flagged container ship in Hormuz

A drone strike by the IRGC on a Singapore-flagged container ship in the Strait of Hormuz has renewed supply concerns, causing oil prices to rise sharply and highlighting ongoing risks in the vital shipping route. The vessel was damaged but continued its voyage without injuries, while the UN paused evacuation efforts, emphasizing the precarious situation despite recent US-Iran agreements.

Gulfnews · 2 minute read

Korean Stocks Tumble 9% on Chip Selloff, Triggers Trading Halt

The Kospi index in South Korea plunged up to 9% following a 20-minute trading halt, driven by significant declines in Samsung and SK Hynix shares, both falling over 10%. The market experienced extreme volatility due to shifts in AI sentiment and uncertainty over semiconductor supply amid aggressive selling by foreign investors.

Moneycontrol · 4 minute read

Indonesia opens door to dirty money to fund Prabowoโ€™s plans

Indonesia's new financial-sector law provides legal immunity for investments in President Prabowo's sovereign wealth fund, Danantara, shielding bond purchases from criminal, civil, or tax investigations. This unprecedented move aims to attract hidden capital but raises concerns about attracting questionable money and undermining efforts to combat corruption.

Theedgemalaysia · 6 minute read

Chinese Tech Stocks Soar on AI Spending, Earnings Season to Test Valuations

The STAR 50 Index surged 64% this quarter due to increased AI infrastructure spending and Beijing's support for domestic tech firms, but concerns are rising that current share prices and sentiment may exceed fundamental earnings growth.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Samsung and SK Hynix Announce $646 Billion Investment in Semiconductor Expansion

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plan a $646 billion investment to enhance semiconductor production in South Korea, focusing on a second major chip cluster to meet surging AI demand. SK Hynix, now South Koreaโ€™s most valuable listed company due to its HBM dominance, aims for completion of new facilities by 2034-2035, accelerating from previous projections.

Cryptobriefing · 3 minute read

King Charles Becomes First British Monarch to Reveal Tax Bill

King Charles has disclosed that he paid ยฃ12.9 million in tax for 2024-2025, marking the first time a British monarch has revealed their tax details. The annual royal accounts also show that the Sovereign Grant, the main source of public funding for the Royal Household, will rise to just under ยฃ100 million by 2027-28.

BBC · 8 minute read

FedEx Freight Targets Gains in Data Centers, Health After Spin-off

FedEx Freight is focusing on expanding its presence in data centers and the health sector following its spin-off, aiming to leverage these growing industries to boost revenue and operational efficiency.

Msn · 3 minute read

US airline stocks erase pandemic-era losses as oil prices ease

The US Global Jets ETF, an indicator of major airline stocks, rose 4.2% to its highest point since December 2018, benefiting from falling oil prices amid US-Iran peace progress. Despite its recent gain, the ETF's growth has lagged behind the S&P 500 since 2019, highlighting ongoing challenges faced by the airline industry during its pandemic recovery.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

BlackBerry Pivots to 'Uncrashable' AI and Robotics Software Layer as Shares Surge

BlackBerry has shifted its focus to developing uncrashable AI and robotics software, leading to a surge in its share prices. This strategic pivot marks a significant move for the company, aiming to solidify its position in these emerging technology markets.

Binance · 3 minute read

Barchart@Barchart

Magnificent 7 getting absolutely trounced by the rest of the S&P 500 this year ๐Ÿšจ ๐Ÿšจ

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Megatron@Megatron_ron

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany's Chancellor Merz says at the moment, Germany is losing between 300 and 500 jobs every single day. Every day, a double-digit number of companies also file for insolvency.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

The CBO expects U.S. population growth to slow to zero over the next 30 years and shrink thereafter

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Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow

U.S. Banks are currently facing unrealized losses of $316 Billion, an increase from the prior quarter

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"The Memory ETF is now the fastest ETF in history to hit $10 billion, $15 billion, and $20 billion in assets under management." $DRAM @charliebilello

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Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow

Job growth has slowed significantly

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

Stock market leverage in Asia is beginning to crack: Stock trade defaults reported by securities firms in Taiwan rose to $62 million so far in June, the highest monthly total since data began in 2019. A stock trade default occurs when investors who bought shares on margin fail to pay for those purchases, or when sellers fail to deliver the shares required to settle the trade. Trade defaults have soared +300% over the last 2 months and now exceed the 2021 record by ~20%. This comes as margin purchases have surged +160% over the last 12 months, to $19 billion, close to the all-time high set just before the 2000 Dot-Com crash. By comparison, margin debt has risen +94% in South Korea over the same period compared to +50% in the final 12 months of the Dot-Com bubble. Market leverage is out of control.

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Lance Roberts@LanceRoberts

Despite headlines to the contrary, households across income cohorts have seen a rise in their savings and checking deposit balances since the start of this year, according to Bank of America deposit data. The percentage increase has been particularly pronounced among lower-income households due to larger tax refunds. @thedailyshot

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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

The supply of new homes in the US crossed above 10 months in May. That's a level we've previously seen only during recessions or the 2022 inflation spike. The message is clear: Home prices are too high relative to demand. One way or another, that gap has to close.

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Augur Infinity@AugurInfinity

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The year-over-year change in margin debt, when expressed as a percentage of GDP, has reached a new record high. Historical peaks in this measure have foreshadowed a downturn in equities.

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Lance Roberts@LanceRoberts

Return on equity is much higher in the US than in the rest of the world. h/t @SoberLook

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Joey Politano ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ@JosephPolitano

Official data is in today, and US solar power generation continues to grow rapidly, up 15% compared to this time last year!

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Warren Pies@WarrenPies

Probably, the single best chart to capture the current macro. Blue: Tech expenditures Purple: Res fixed investment If the Fed hikes here, can they actually slow down tech spend? Or will they just further crush the purple line? How will John Q. Public receive the tightening?

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Bespoke@bespokeinvest

The 8 largest S&P 500 stocks are all down at least 8% this month for an average decline of 13.7%. $NVDA $GOOGL $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $AVGO $TSLA $META The next 9 largest are all up this month for an average gain of 7.6%. ๐Ÿค”

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zerohedge@zerohedge

Hyperscalers vs Chips

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Polymarket@Polymarket

JUST IN: New study reveals LLM-based trading strategies mostly failed to outperform a simple buy-and-hold strategy over 20 years.

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 The S&P 500 is down about 3% this month, with the so-called June swoon back in play. Midterm years tend to amplify the softness. July, however, has a history of snapping the market back into gear ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/?s=S%26P+500 h/t @RyanDetrick $spx #spx

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Market makers remain in negative gamma. Under these conditions, market makers in the options space will be forced to trade with the market, amplifying moves in both directions rather than cushioning them.

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Kevin Gordon@KevRGordon

Goldman Sachs: "So far this year, US-listed levered ETF trading volumes are running 50% higher than the first six months of 2025โ€™s record paceโ€ฆthis breaks down to roughly $45 billion /day in volume, turning over 30% of complex AUMโ€ฆ"

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Insolvency volumes in Canada hit highest rates since 2009, Equifax has said

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Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

US data today is strong. Personal income and spending are both up 0.7% in May. Real spending is positive. The Fedโ€™s preferred inflation gauge (core PCE) is running at just 0.3% m/m and 3.4% y/y, exactly in line with expectations. Initial jobless claims dipped to 215k, still

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Daniel Lacalle@dlacalle_IA

Liquidity is drying up because central banks are hiking rates in a transitory inflationary burst, creating a negative effect on credit and investment. Meanwhile, governments are spending and printing like drunken sailors.

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

"Real wages are decreasing in some developed countries," per FT:

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Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1

Microsoft shares are poised for their worst monthly loss since 2008, having plunged nearly 19% so far in June. Oracle is down 30%, Meta down 12%, Google down 8%. And yet the S&P 500 equal weight index is up 1% on the month.

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๐Ÿ’ฑ  Forex & Commodities

Empty LNG Tankers Mass Outside Qatar as Exports Tick Higher

At least eight empty vessels have congregated off the Ras Laffan facility after most transited through the Strait of Hormuz over the past week, according to ship-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg. Another tanker in the Gulf is on its way to the plant, while two other Qatar-linked ships are approaching the eastern entrance of Hormuz, the data shows.

Energyconnects · 2 minute read

Chinaโ€™s Crude Imports Plunge To Lowest Level Since 2018

Chinese crude imports fell to their lowest level since 2018 as the country relied more heavily on strategic reserves and reduced purchases from major Middle Eastern suppliers, creating a bearish outlook for oil demand.

Oilprice · 5 minute read

Gold Steadies Near $4,000 as Inflation Gauge Tempers Rate-Hike Expectations

Gold prices stabilized near $4,000 an ounce as the US personal consumption expenditures price index rose by only 0.4% in May, easing pressures for an interest-rate hike and impacting bond trader expectations for future rate increases.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Aluminum Heads for Fourth Weekly Drop on Mideast Supply Return

Aluminum prices declined by 0.2% to $2,228 a ton as of mid-morning in Shanghai, heading for a fourth consecutive weekly drop due to the return of Middle East supplies to the market.

Co · 3 minute read

ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

๐Ÿ“Œ Gold Gold's 2026 gains have evaporated as sentiment flipped from rate cuts to higher-for-longer expectations. A stronger US dollar is adding pressure, while forced selling to cover losses elsewhere is accelerating the selloff ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/?s=gold h/t @SoberLook $gold

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(((The Daily Shot)))@SoberLook

China's four largest solar makers have lost money every quarter since 2024. Source: Data Is Beautiful

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Rubio: there is zero support from gulf countries for tolls or fees on Strait of Hormuz

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๐Ÿช™  Crypto News

Invesco Targets Stablecoin Reserves With New Tokenized Money Market Fund

Invesco has filed an amended registration statement with the SEC to introduce the Invesco Stablecoin Reserves Onchain Fund, a tokenized money market fund for stablecoin issuers to manage cash reserves compliantly. The fund will invest in U.S. dollar-denominated assets and use blockchain technology for record-keeping without directly investing in stablecoins or issuers.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Strategy MSTR dividend risk: 10 months of cash, zero confidence

Strategy's MSTR stock fell 8% to $86 and its STRC preferred shares dropped to $75, highlighting a confidence crisis as investor trust erodes due to repeated strategic changes by Michael Saylor. Despite holding sufficient reserves for STRC dividend payments, the company faces challenges in raising capital and funding future bitcoin purchases due to the STRC shares trading below par value.

Bitget · 8 minute read

Bitcoin likely to fall another 30% to $44,000 by year-end, prominent BTC miner says

Jiang Zhuoer, founder of LeBit mining pool, forecasts that bitcoin will bottom between $42,000 and $44,000 in the fourth quarter of 2026, influenced by the market sentiment towards Strategy's mNAV, which has dropped to 0.72, indicating a pessimistic outlook.

Cryptonews · 3 minute read

Circle Plans Partnership with Nomura to Enable Instant Foreign Currency Settlement for Japanese Firms by 2027

Circle is planning to partner with Nomura to offer instant foreign currency settlement services for Japanese companies, with the goal of implementing these services by 2027.

Binance · 3 minute read

ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

๐Ÿ“Œ Crypto Crypto funds have faced persistent outflows since May, driven largely by selling in Bitcoin vehicles as investor appetite cools ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/blog/ @DeutscheBank #ETF #bitcoin #btc $btc #digitalassets #crypto

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls to 89-week low

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