πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
10:00 AMRevised UoM Consumer SentimentMedium
10:00 AMCB Leading Index m/mLow
10:00 AMFOMC Member Waller SpeaksLow
10:00 AMRevised UoM Inflation ExpectationsLow
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
BMO0.91
EPS Est
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
BMO1.34
EPS Est
FRO
Frontline plc
BMO1.58
EPS Est
GSL
Global Ship Lease, Inc.
BMO2.40
EPS Est
SY
So-Young International Inc.
BMO-0.72
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
AIAIAIAI Holdings Corporation+45.33%
INFQInfleqtion, Inc.+20.30%
RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc.+15.21%
AAPAdvance Auto Parts Inc.+13.86%
QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.+12.75%
SWIMLatham Group, Inc.+12.23%
RLRalph Lauren Corporation+10.83%
RGTIRigetti Computing, Inc.+10.78%
GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.+10.69%
NBISNebius Group N.V.+10.04%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
INTUIntuit Inc.-18.74%
ODVOsisko Development Corp.-15.31%
OFIXOrthofix Medical Inc.-10.29%
LSPDLightspeed Commerce Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares-7.37%
BORRBorr Drilling Limited-6.80%
SIShoulder Innovations, Inc.-6.59%
AUGOAura Minerals Inc.-6.43%
RKLBRocket Lab Corporation-6.20%
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Limited-6.09%
ACVAACV Auctions Inc.-6.04%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7406.45

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

Hormuz Closure Threatens Recession Rivaling 2008, Rapidan Energy Group Says

The Rapidan Energy Group has warned that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to an economic recession similar to that of 2008 due to the crucial role the strait plays in global oil transportation.

Ndtvprofit · 3 minute read

Iran's President says on state TV that they won’t back down in talks

Markets turned volatile after Iran's President's statement and reports from Al-Arabiya and Al Jazeera regarding the status of US-Iran negotiations and the involvement of Pakistani military officials. Conflicting signals about a possible draft agreement affected stocks, oil, foreign exchange, and bond markets.

Investinglive · 1 minute read

Cursor Hits $3B in Annual Revenue After SpaceX Deal

Cursor has achieved $3 billion in annual revenue following a significant deal with SpaceX, marking a substantial financial milestone for the company.

Techinasia · 3 minute read

TSMC Faces Increasing Competition for AI Investment as Diversification Trends Grow

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is experiencing underperformance in its shares compared to local chip designer MediaTek and Samsung Electronics, as investors diversify due to caps on single-stock investments and growing interest in a broader array of AI-related tech companies beyond TSMC's advanced chips. Despite TSMC's continued role in AI demand, its focus on logic chips limits its exposure to the booming memory and storage market, prompting funds to invest in other Asian tech firms and chipmakers entering the ADR market.

Com · 4 minute read

Pentagon doubts over rare earths deal provoke White House clash

The Pentagon is considering canceling an $80 million conditional loan to ReElement Technologies Corp. over doubts about the company's technology scaling and revenue forecasts, sparking a disagreement with the White House, which supports the loan as a way to reduce reliance on Chinese critical minerals.

Mining · 5 minute read

Saudi Arabia and UAE Report Drone Attacks Originating from Iraq

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates reported that drones launched from Iraq have attacked their territories, with the UAE suffering a fire at a nuclear power plant and Saudi Arabia intercepting drones. This comes amid ongoing tensions involving Iran and Iranian-backed militias. Iraq denies involvement, urging cooperation for accurate intelligence, while facing pressure to manage such militias.

Longwarjournal · 5 minute read

Alberta Premier Announces Referendum on Province's Future in Canada

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has announced a referendum for October 19 to determine whether the province should remain in Canada or pursue a future vote on separation. Despite a strong separatist movement, opinion polls suggest most Albertans favor staying in Canada, and Smith herself supports remaining part of the nation.

BBC · 5 minute read

Junk Debt Outperforms Other Fixed-Income Markets Amid Rising Yields

Junk debt is outperforming investment-grade bonds, aided by higher yields that make lower-rated notes more appealing, despite global economic concerns such as war in the Middle East and rising interest rates. However, with high-yield credit spreads nearing lows not seen since 2007, some investors express unease about debt market exuberance and the potential for increased defaults and refinancing difficulties.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Polymarket@Polymarket

JUST IN: The U.S. is pausing its largest-ever Taiwan arms sale to reportedly preserve munitions for the Iran operation.

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"Earnings leadership remains firmly US-centric: EPS revision ratios across Nasdaq (~2.5), S&P 500 (~1.8), S&P 400 (~1.5) and S&P 600 (~1.3) all sit above global peers." -SocGen Kabra

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Luke Gromen@LukeGromen

This is exactly what has been happening, in plain sight. China has offshore CNY clearing banks in every major gold hub in the world (London, Switz, Dubai, Singapore, HK, Shanghai), & Swiss gold exports to Saudi have exploded higher in recent years:

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Colin McCarthy@US_Stormwatch

Insane stat of the day: California almonds use roughly 3–5.5 million acre-feet of water per year, depending on methodology. That's ~4-7x more water than all data centers in North America used combined in 2025.

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Roger@rdd147

$F and $GM dealerships aren’t doing much better. Bankruptcies on track to reach peak of Great Financial Crisis in 2026

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Roger@rdd147

Small business bankruptcies on track to reach 72,000 in 2026, an ATH and nearly double 2025.

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TreasuryBonds.com@TreasuryBonds1

The inflation-adjusted economy looks a lot weaker than the headline numbers suggest. Since January 2020, retail sales in current dollars are up nearly 50%. But after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales are up only about 15%. A huge portion of the β€œgrowth” consumers are seeing is really just higher prices.

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Bespoke@bespokeinvest

Materials, Industrials, and Utilities have seen their relative strength lines plummet in the last couple of months:

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Jeremiah Johnson 🌐@JeremiahDJohns

The biggest thing happening behind the scenes in the "expensive lunch" discourse is that Zoomers are eating out at ridiculously high rates. It's a silent assumption for a ton of young people that restaurants are a basic necessity, not an occasional treat.

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Neil Sethi@neilksethi

Fund managers are also the most underweight bonds since June 2022 at a net 44% underweight.

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∿@somewheresy

DEI stands for Datacenter, Electricity and Infrastructure now

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Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno

Inflation has yet to show up outside of food, energy and shelter. So if you are homeless, you are ok!

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MTS Insights@MTSInsights

The preliminary May manufacturing PMI readings continue to point to unusually high price pressures. The aggregated Prices Received index is now more than 1 standard deviation above the historical average.

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Alexander Stahel 🌻@BurggrabenH

Two months after Trump announced that the US would provide insurance to ships seeking to transit the Strait of Hormuz, the programme has not provided a single dollar of cover. The scheme never got off the ground, according to insurance brokers, as it did not fulfil all the requirements needed for ships transiting the strait and was tied to a US naval escort for vessels, which has not been established.

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Peter Mallouk@PeterMallouk

At $5.7 trillion, Nvidia's market cap is now $1.8 trillion higher than all of the stocks in the Russell 2000 ... combined.

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Barchart@Barchart

Private Credit Defaults soar to highest level in history 🚨🚨

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

"Private equity firms now own 1 in 8 American apartments," per MorePerfectUnion

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Turkey liquidated almost all its U.S. Treasuries in March

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

The 9.92M barrel weekly draw from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is the largest single-week decline on record going back to 1982.

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Ryan Detrick, CMT@RyanDetrick

Everyone likes to point out how poorly stocks do in midterm years. What they usually leave out is how they do much better during a President's second term.

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Polymarket@Polymarket

NEW: UN climate panel is set to drop its worst-case warming scenario after scientists deemed it β€œimplausible.”

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"Over the past 10 years, 100% of active managers in Treasury fixed-income funds have underperformed their benchmark." -Apollo Slok

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

🚨 Strategic Petroleum Reserve hits lowest level since 2024

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Real Vision@RealVision

Everyone is treating rising bond yields like a reason to sell tech. Historically, it's been the opposite. When this signal triggers, buying the Nasdaq hits 76.8% over 30 days. Semis are already bouncing. @AndreasSteno just dropped the full breakdown

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Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno

Semiconductor stocks are probably still too cheap

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

Global Deceleration Picks Up Steam The latest flash PMI reads highlight the slowdown is accelerating pretty much everywhere as the oil shock drags on. Without a swift resolution, most economies will face a painful summer ahead. https://bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/global-deceleration-picks-up-steam

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"FOMC meeting minutes score as the most hawkish since July 2023. A majority saw a rate hike if inflation remained hot, while many preferred removing the easing bias from the statement" @LizThomasStrat

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

Traders Eye Yen Intervention Risks Amid Holiday Liquidity Concerns

Traders are closely monitoring the Japanese yen for potential intervention risks due to concerns over reduced liquidity during the holiday period, which could lead to increased market volatility.

Gurufocus · 3 minute read

Gold Set for Weekly Loss on Stronger Dollar, Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices are set to decline for the week as the U.S. dollar strengthens and expectations for interest rate increases grow.

Brecorder · 3 minute read

Yet another commodity guy@tleilax___

I estimate at least for crude about 2.8 billions barrels of linefill and tank bottoms. This is from known pipeline infrastructure and measurable inventories. That inventory is unavailable for commerce and can't be drawn. This is from GEM data and @Kayrros

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Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ Immensely unsurprisingly, but impressive timeline nonetheless: The United Arab Emirates is accelerating the construction of a pipeline that runs to the port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman, doubling its capacity to export crude oil bypassing the Strait of Hormuz by next year

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News

Q-Day Threat Is Coming as Crypto Is Racing to Beat Quantum

Q-Day refers to a future point when quantum computers become capable of breaking the encryption that secures cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Recent research from Google and Caltech suggests this could happen sooner than expected, prompting some blockchains, such as Solana, NEAR, and Zcash, to begin transitioning to post-quantum security measures.

Memeburn · 5 minute read

JPMorgan says tokenized money market funds unlikely to grow beyond 15% of stablecoin market

Tokenized money market funds are likely to continue growing, but they are unlikely to capture more than 10% to 15% of the stablecoin market without regulatory changes, according to JPMorgan analysts.

The Block · 3 minute read

Mark Cuban Sold Most of His Bitcoin Holdings

Mark Cuban, the billionaire investor and owner of the Dallas Mavericks, has sold the majority of his Bitcoin holdings, while maintaining that he still believes in the long-term potential of cryptocurrencies.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

16 years ago today, Laszlo Hanyecz paid 10,000 Bitcoin for two Papa John's pizzas. Today, 10k $BTC is worth over $775,000,000.

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Barchart@Barchart

BREAKING 🚨: Ethereum Harvard dumps entire $ETH position worth $87 Million πŸ€―πŸ‘€

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