📅 Economic Releases
| Time (ET) | Event | Impact |
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| 8:00 AM | USA Holiday | Holiday |
📈 Premarket Gainers & Losers
🎯 Gamma Flip Point — $SPX (S&P 500 Index)
$SPX gamma flip point is 7486.43 |
🔥 Hot Market News
| Whiskey Barrel-Backed Loans Are Plummeting in Value With Americans Drinking Less American distilleries are facing financial difficulties as a surplus of whiskey barrels builds up in warehouses, leading to court disputes over the value of young whiskey pledged as loan collateral. The oversupply, coupled with decreased demand and export tariffs, has caused smaller producers to struggle, forcing some lenders to take control of distilleries like Uncle Nearest after loan defaults.
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| Russian Gasoline Shortage Begins to Spill Into Central Asia Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan face fuel shortages and rising prices due to Russia restricting fuel exports amidst internal shortages caused by Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian facilities. While Kazakhstan explores Chinese fuel imports and Uzbekistan Airways reduces Russian flights due to jet fuel shortages, a widespread fuel crisis is anticipated in regions affected by Russian export limitations.
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| Leveraged ETFs Are Just The Tip Of The Iceberg There is leverage building across hedge fund balance sheets. The basis trade—buying Treasurys and shorting futures against them—is a well-known source of levered risk for hedge funds, estimated to be as much as $2.4 trillion as of late last year (using Fed data).
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| Rivian Raises Its Full-Year Delivery Forecast. Here’s Why the Stock Is Soaring. Rivian's stock surged over 8% after the company announced higher-than-expected vehicle deliveries of 12,194 in Q2, surpassing its forecast of 9,000 to 11,000 vehicles. The strong performance led Rivian to increase its full-year 2026 delivery guidance to 65,000 to 70,000 units, up from a prior estimate of 62,000 to 67,000, driven by strong demand for its EDV and R1 lines and the new R2 crossover SUV.
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| Tesla Vehicle Sales Jump 25%, Far Exceeding Estimates Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles globally in Q2 2026, a 25% increase from the same period last year, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations of under 400,000. Despite this achievement, Tesla shares dropped 7.5% after four days of gains, as investor excitement waned following the announcement.
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| Amazon to Begin Internet Service This Year After Latest Launch Amazon has set a launch deadline for its satellite network intended to compete with SpaceX's Starlink, aiming to provide global broadband internet coverage.
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| Crusoe in Talks to Raise $3 Billion in Round That May Triple Firm’s Value AI data center startup Crusoe is negotiating to secure about $3 billion in a funding round that could triple its valuation to approximately $30 billion. The company, which has contracts to supply AI computing power to Meta and Oracle, has shifted from its beginnings as a cryptocurrency business to focus on AI infrastructure.
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| China Quant Funds Draw Billions as AI Trounces Human Traders Quant funds in China have seen a surge in popularity, with assets under management more than doubling to over 2.6 trillion yuan, fueled by the successful integration of artificial intelligence. Ubiquant raised 2.6 billion yuan in under two hours for a new fund, and traditional discretionary fund managers are racing to adapt to AI-driven strategies.
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| The AI Trade Is Losing One of Its Key Signals The Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index, which tracks user payments for AI tokens, has declined nearly 20% from May, raising concerns that AI companies may be losing pricing power and that expected profits might be overestimated. The index's decline suggests either price reductions, a shift to cheaper models, or reduced buyer willingness, pointing to potential vulnerability in AI investments.
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| Toronto Housing Market Sees Increase in Sales but Decline in Prices The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board reported a 9.4% year-over-year increase in home sales in June, despite a 5.39% decline in the benchmark home price to $940,800 from June 2025. The market is tightening with new listings dropping 12.9%, and prices declined across the Greater Toronto Area, particularly for condominiums.
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💱 Forex & Commodities
| Japan finance minister repeats readiness to respond on yen Japan's Finance Minister expressed readiness to take action in response to fluctuations in the yen, signaling possible intervention to stabilize the currency's value amid continued economic uncertainty.
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| Morgan Stanley Among Banks Challenging Growing Dollar Optimism Currency strategists from Credit Agricole, Morgan Stanley, and TD Securities are diverging from the majority view by questioning the continued strength of the dollar, citing it as overbought and overvalued, with implications for Fed policy and global currencies.
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| Saudi supertankers exit Hormuz in kingdom’s biggest oil flow since Iran war truce Saudi Arabia is exporting the highest volume of crude oil from the Persian Gulf since the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, following a peace agreement between the US and Iran. Four supertankers carrying eight million barrels of crude have left Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura port, marking a significant increase in oil shipments as the region experiences eased tensions.
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| Copper Climbs With Industrial Metals as Rate-Hike Prospects Fade Copper prices increased 0.25% to $6.13 per pound as a softer US dollar and reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes bolstered demand. Factors driving the surge include AI-driven demand, electrification projects, and tariff impacts, although recent volatility has been noted due to economic uncertainties and speculation.
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| Citi says oil may slump to US$60 as Hormuz shock fades Citi predicts that oil prices could drop to $60 per barrel as the initial market shock from tensions in the Strait of Hormuz subsides.
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🪙 Crypto News
| Securitize is latest crypto company to go public as BlackRock-backed firm sees stock jump 3% on debut Securitize, backed by BlackRock, has gone public on the New York Stock Exchange after merging with a SPAC, raising $400 million and valuing the company at $1.25 billion. Shares initially fell but have since risen, as Securitize plans to issue a tokenized version of its stock amid growing interest in financial asset tokenization.
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| South Africa's Online Grocery Battle Shifts Focus to AI South African retailers Shoprite and Pick n Pay are intensifying their competition in online groceries by utilizing AI technology to streamline the shopping experience. Pick n Pay introduced Penny, an AI assistant that helps users shop via voice, text, or photo, aiming to enhance its digital offerings and revive its supermarket business.
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| Tokenization could make finance faster, but also more susceptible to shocks, IMF says Tokenization of assets has the potential to transform global financial systems by enhancing efficiency, transparency, and access to markets, enabling more inclusive and innovative economic structures.
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| Finally. $221 million flow into Bitcoin ETFs, ending a painful 10-day outflow streak U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs experienced an inflow of $221.7 million on Thursday, led by a $165.96 million inflow into Fidelity’s FBTC, marking the largest inflow in two months and ending a 10-day streak of $2.73 billion in outflows.
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| Bitwise says STRC selloff signals crypto cycle nearing a bottom, not Strategy’s breaking poin Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer suggests that the recent selloff of the Strategy (STRC) stock is a sign of Bitcoin approaching the end of its market cycle, potentially nearing a bottom. He believes this is part of the typical volatility experienced at such stages of the Bitcoin cycle.
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| OFAC Updates ISIS-K Sanctions to Include 134 Cryptocurrency Wallets The U.S. Treasury's OFAC updated its sanctions on ISIS-K to include 134 cryptocurrency wallets, primarily on the TRON and Monero networks, and sanctioned individuals tied to the PCC, a Latin American criminal group, for laundering over $30 million using cryptocurrency.
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| A struggling Nasdaq-listed company that tried to copy Saylor's Bitcoin playbook is completely dumping crypto for AI K Wave Media is exiting the cryptocurrency market to focus on AI infrastructure, reallocating $485 million originally intended for Bitcoin to data centers and GPU computing, resulting in a 25% drop in its stock price.
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| Spotify removes streams of No. 1 song after suspicious Kalshi bets Spotify removed the song 'Earrings' by Malcolm Todd from its U.S. streaming chart after suspecting it benefited from manipulated streams due to unusual bets on the prediction market Kalshi. The incident raises concerns about the integrity of prediction markets and their vulnerability to manipulation.
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🛠️ Free Market Tools
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