📅  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
8:00 AMUSA HolidayHoliday
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📈  Premarket Gainers & Losers

▲ Top GainersCompanyChange
CARECarter Bankshares, Inc.+59.99%
WCCWESCO International, Inc.+14.62%
NEXANexa Resources S.A.+12.13%
TENXTenax Therapeutics, Inc.+11.36%
MYEMyers Industries, Inc.+10.12%
OFRMOnce Upon a Farm, PBC+7.87%
OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.+7.87%
ASSTStrive, Inc.+7.07%
FIZZNational Beverage Corp.+6.91%
DBDeutsche Bank AG+6.82%
▼ Top LosersCompanyChange
CLYMClimb Bio, Inc.-8.95%
RBLXRoblox Corporation-6.56%
CTKBCytek Biosciences, Inc.-6.11%
ANROAlto Neuroscience, Inc.-5.77%
ECXECARX Holdings Inc.-5.47%
AGNTAGNT, Inc.-5.27%
MQMarqeta, Inc.-4.33%
IMTXImmatics N.V.-4.06%
ORKAOruka Therapeutics, Inc.-3.93%
GETYGetty Images Holdings, Inc.-3.90%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point — $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7486.43

 

🔥  Hot Market News

Whiskey Barrel-Backed Loans Are Plummeting in Value With Americans Drinking Less

American distilleries are facing financial difficulties as a surplus of whiskey barrels builds up in warehouses, leading to court disputes over the value of young whiskey pledged as loan collateral. The oversupply, coupled with decreased demand and export tariffs, has caused smaller producers to struggle, forcing some lenders to take control of distilleries like Uncle Nearest after loan defaults.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Russian Gasoline Shortage Begins to Spill Into Central Asia

Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan face fuel shortages and rising prices due to Russia restricting fuel exports amidst internal shortages caused by Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian facilities. While Kazakhstan explores Chinese fuel imports and Uzbekistan Airways reduces Russian flights due to jet fuel shortages, a widespread fuel crisis is anticipated in regions affected by Russian export limitations.

Oilprice · 4 minute read

Leveraged ETFs Are Just The Tip Of The Iceberg

There is leverage building across hedge fund balance sheets. The basis trade—buying Treasurys and shorting futures against them—is a well-known source of levered risk for hedge funds, estimated to be as much as $2.4 trillion as of late last year (using Fed data).

Fa-mag · 3 minute read

Rivian Raises Its Full-Year Delivery Forecast. Here’s Why the Stock Is Soaring.

Rivian's stock surged over 8% after the company announced higher-than-expected vehicle deliveries of 12,194 in Q2, surpassing its forecast of 9,000 to 11,000 vehicles. The strong performance led Rivian to increase its full-year 2026 delivery guidance to 65,000 to 70,000 units, up from a prior estimate of 62,000 to 67,000, driven by strong demand for its EDV and R1 lines and the new R2 crossover SUV.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Tesla Vehicle Sales Jump 25%, Far Exceeding Estimates

Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles globally in Q2 2026, a 25% increase from the same period last year, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations of under 400,000. Despite this achievement, Tesla shares dropped 7.5% after four days of gains, as investor excitement waned following the announcement.

Com · 3 minute read

Amazon to Begin Internet Service This Year After Latest Launch

Amazon has set a launch deadline for its satellite network intended to compete with SpaceX's Starlink, aiming to provide global broadband internet coverage.

Co · 3 minute read

Crusoe in Talks to Raise $3 Billion in Round That May Triple Firm’s Value

AI data center startup Crusoe is negotiating to secure about $3 billion in a funding round that could triple its valuation to approximately $30 billion. The company, which has contracts to supply AI computing power to Meta and Oracle, has shifted from its beginnings as a cryptocurrency business to focus on AI infrastructure.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

China Quant Funds Draw Billions as AI Trounces Human Traders

Quant funds in China have seen a surge in popularity, with assets under management more than doubling to over 2.6 trillion yuan, fueled by the successful integration of artificial intelligence. Ubiquant raised 2.6 billion yuan in under two hours for a new fund, and traditional discretionary fund managers are racing to adapt to AI-driven strategies.

Com · 5 minute read

The AI Trade Is Losing One of Its Key Signals

The Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index, which tracks user payments for AI tokens, has declined nearly 20% from May, raising concerns that AI companies may be losing pricing power and that expected profits might be overestimated. The index's decline suggests either price reductions, a shift to cheaper models, or reduced buyer willingness, pointing to potential vulnerability in AI investments.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Toronto Housing Market Sees Increase in Sales but Decline in Prices

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board reported a 9.4% year-over-year increase in home sales in June, despite a 5.39% decline in the benchmark home price to $940,800 from June 2025. The market is tightening with new listings dropping 12.9%, and prices declined across the Greater Toronto Area, particularly for condominiums.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Americans aged 25-54 are exiting the labor force at the fastest pace since 2020

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Barchart@Barchart

Foreigners are dumping Japanese Bonds at the fastest pace in 3 years 🚨

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Barchart@Barchart

JUST IN 🚨: OpenAI may give 5% stake to Trump Administration 👀 Based on its recent valuation of $852 Billion, this would be worth just over $42 Billion 🤑

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Ronnie Stoeferle@RonStoeferle

No further comment needed! ht @TaviCosta

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

JUST IN: Goldman Sachs, $GS, has said investors are rotating out of the Magnificent Seven and into AI beneficiaries such as semiconductor stocks, favoring them over hyperscalers bearing heavy AI spending.

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Justin Wolfers@JustinWolfers

It's a healthcare economy.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Hedge fund leverage has nearly doubled since 2022

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Bespoke@bespokeinvest

Interesting chart showing which industries are seeing increases and decreases in Indeed job postings this year. Biggest increases: Mechanical Engineering, Industrial Engineering, Electrical Engineering Biggest decreases: Community & Social Services, Childcare, Accounting

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Gregory Zuckerman@GZuckerman

Oracle down 24% in 9 days.

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Schaeffer's Investment Research@schaeffers

Retail investors aren't waiting for dips anymore.. they're attacking them!! The first half of 2026 marked the strongest buy-the-dip behavior in Citadel's entire dataset, with retail buying 3.5X the average amount on S&P 500 down days!!

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

US-hiring plans remain historically depressed: US-based employers announced plans to add 10,933 jobs in June, marking a -44% decline from 19,536 in May. Year-to-date, US hiring plans rose +10% YoY, to 91,405 workers. This comes as technology sector hiring plans surged +167% YoY, to 14,761 workers. However, excluding technology, hiring plans are down -1% YoY, to 76,644 workers. The decline has been driven by entertainment and leisure hiring plans, which are down -57% YoY to 12,096 workers so far in 2026. This also follows 5 consecutive years of declining hiring intentions, which fell -84% since 2020, to 508,000 for the full year 2025. Hiring continues to weaken beneath the surface.

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Brad Setser@Brad_Setser

As noted earlier, China runs a surplus with Germany in machinery now -- and it looks posed to run a surplus in autos this year as well. Amazing swings in a five year period 5/5

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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳@C_Barraud

🇯🇵 #Japan Retail Investors Bought Record Stocks Last Week in Selloff - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-02/japan-retail-investors-bought-record-stocks-last-week-in-selloff

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

1 in 4 white-collar workers are stalling out, per WSJ

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

"Europe risks ‘mass unemployment’ without reform," per FT

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

"The slowest housing market in decades is stretching into its fourth year, and even real-estate agents who made it this far are reaching a breaking point," per WSJ

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

This morning's weaker-than-expected payrolls are giving us a pullback in market pricing for Fed hikes this year. That comes on top of what we learned about Kevin Warsh yesterday in his second public appearance as Chair. He didn't sound hawkish at all... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/learning-about-kevin-warsh

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

Same-day options (0DTE) now account for nearly half of all retail option volume

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Warren Pies@WarrenPies

JUNE JOBS Not great Res con payrolls fell for the 3rd straight month and have now declined by 2.4% from peak. Private white collar jobs still lackluster as well (finance + insurance in a 1.25% drawdown/Computer system & design 4.4% drawdown). LFPR back to pandemic levels.

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💱  Forex & Commodities

Japan finance minister repeats readiness to respond on yen

Japan's Finance Minister expressed readiness to take action in response to fluctuations in the yen, signaling possible intervention to stabilize the currency's value amid continued economic uncertainty.

Brecorder · 3 minute read

Morgan Stanley Among Banks Challenging Growing Dollar Optimism

Currency strategists from Credit Agricole, Morgan Stanley, and TD Securities are diverging from the majority view by questioning the continued strength of the dollar, citing it as overbought and overvalued, with implications for Fed policy and global currencies.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Saudi supertankers exit Hormuz in kingdom’s biggest oil flow since Iran war truce

Saudi Arabia is exporting the highest volume of crude oil from the Persian Gulf since the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, following a peace agreement between the US and Iran. Four supertankers carrying eight million barrels of crude have left Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura port, marking a significant increase in oil shipments as the region experiences eased tensions.

Straitstimes · 2 minute read

Copper Climbs With Industrial Metals as Rate-Hike Prospects Fade

Copper prices increased 0.25% to $6.13 per pound as a softer US dollar and reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes bolstered demand. Factors driving the surge include AI-driven demand, electrification projects, and tariff impacts, although recent volatility has been noted due to economic uncertainties and speculation.

Cryptobriefing · 3 minute read

Citi says oil may slump to US$60 as Hormuz shock fades

Citi predicts that oil prices could drop to $60 per barrel as the initial market shock from tensions in the Strait of Hormuz subsides.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

Barchart@Barchart

Speculators have now built the 2nd largest Japanese Yen short position in history 🤯 👀

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Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks

Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has almost fully normalized. That means oil is back to trading macro. The recent fall in oil prices is about the perception that the Fed's reaction function is shifting hawkish and - today - weak payrolls... https://robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/requiem-for-200-oil

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TankerTrackers.com, Inc.@TankerTrackers

Iran has exported 50 million barrels of crude oil since the US-imposed blockade was lifted two weeks ago. This equates to 1.66 million barrels per day for June 2026. Most other countries in the region are still nowhere near pre-war levels. #OOTT #IranWar #Tankers

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🪙  Crypto News

Securitize is latest crypto company to go public as BlackRock-backed firm sees stock jump 3% on debut

Securitize, backed by BlackRock, has gone public on the New York Stock Exchange after merging with a SPAC, raising $400 million and valuing the company at $1.25 billion. Shares initially fell but have since risen, as Securitize plans to issue a tokenized version of its stock amid growing interest in financial asset tokenization.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

South Africa's Online Grocery Battle Shifts Focus to AI

South African retailers Shoprite and Pick n Pay are intensifying their competition in online groceries by utilizing AI technology to streamline the shopping experience. Pick n Pay introduced Penny, an AI assistant that helps users shop via voice, text, or photo, aiming to enhance its digital offerings and revive its supermarket business.

Com · 2 minute read

Tokenization could make finance faster, but also more susceptible to shocks, IMF says

Tokenization of assets has the potential to transform global financial systems by enhancing efficiency, transparency, and access to markets, enabling more inclusive and innovative economic structures.

Imf · 3 minute read

Finally. $221 million flow into Bitcoin ETFs, ending a painful 10-day outflow streak

U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs experienced an inflow of $221.7 million on Thursday, led by a $165.96 million inflow into Fidelity’s FBTC, marking the largest inflow in two months and ending a 10-day streak of $2.73 billion in outflows.

Cryptonews · 1 minute read

Bitwise says STRC selloff signals crypto cycle nearing a bottom, not Strategy’s breaking poin

Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer suggests that the recent selloff of the Strategy (STRC) stock is a sign of Bitcoin approaching the end of its market cycle, potentially nearing a bottom. He believes this is part of the typical volatility experienced at such stages of the Bitcoin cycle.

The Block · 3 minute read

OFAC Updates ISIS-K Sanctions to Include 134 Cryptocurrency Wallets

The U.S. Treasury's OFAC updated its sanctions on ISIS-K to include 134 cryptocurrency wallets, primarily on the TRON and Monero networks, and sanctioned individuals tied to the PCC, a Latin American criminal group, for laundering over $30 million using cryptocurrency.

Chainalysis · 5 minute read

A struggling Nasdaq-listed company that tried to copy Saylor's Bitcoin playbook is completely dumping crypto for AI

K Wave Media is exiting the cryptocurrency market to focus on AI infrastructure, reallocating $485 million originally intended for Bitcoin to data centers and GPU computing, resulting in a 25% drop in its stock price.

Cryptobriefing · 3 minute read

Spotify removes streams of No. 1 song after suspicious Kalshi bets

Spotify removed the song 'Earrings' by Malcolm Todd from its U.S. streaming chart after suspecting it benefited from manipulated streams due to unusual bets on the prediction market Kalshi. The incident raises concerns about the integrity of prediction markets and their vulnerability to manipulation.

Cbsnews · 2 minute read

Alex Gladstein 🌋 ⚡@gladstein

Stablecoin censorship tracker Billions frozen Good reminder that while stables have utility they are not freedom money https://stables.rip

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Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Chairman Paul Atkins says the SEC is modernizing rules to bring financial markets "on-chain."

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Kalshi@Kalshi

JUST IN: Robinhood CEO says AI agents are on track to match human traders

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The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

BREAKING: Total crypto card deposits have officially crossed above $10 billion for the first time in history. This puts total deposits up +82% year-to-date and nearly +250% year-over-year. The surge comes amid a rapid adoption of stablecoins as a payment rail, particularly in cross-border transactions. Yesterday, Visa, Mastercard, and a consortium of over 140 companies jointly launched a new USD-pegged stablecoin called Open USD, which is set to accelerate this trend. Onchain platform Jupiter Mobile has also driven adoption, which has seen +65% month-over-month growth in new card users. User growth has been fueled by localized integrations such as QR-based payments and growing accessibility across 60+ countries. Crypto card adoption is rapidly expanding.

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