πŸ“…  Economic Releases

Time (ET)EventImpact
2:00 PMFOMC Meeting MinutesHigh
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πŸ“Š  Earnings Today

CompanyWhenEstimate
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
BMO2.21
EPS Est
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co.
AMC0.24
EPS Est
PSMT
PriceSmart, Inc.
AMC1.19
EPS Est
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
AMC1.69
EPS Est
WDFC
WD-40 Company
AMC1.57
EPS Est
SMPL
The Simply Good Foods Company
BMO0.35
EPS Est
HELE
Helen of Troy Limited
BMO0.02
EPS Est
SLP
Simulations Plus, Inc.
AMC0.23
EPS Est
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
AMCβ€”
EPS Est
BYRN
Byrna Technologies Inc.
BMO-0.12
EPS Est
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πŸ“ˆ  Premarket Gainers & Losers

β–² Top GainersCompanyChange
CRNXCrinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.+98.86%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.+10.38%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.+9.61%
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.+8.30%
EIKNEikon Therapeutics, Inc.+6.40%
PALIPalisade Bio, Inc.+6.37%
ABCLAbCellera Biologics Inc.+6.23%
ACHVAchieve Life Sciences, Inc.+6.20%
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.+5.78%
ASANAsana, Inc.+5.41%
β–Ό Top LosersCompanyChange
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.-11.82%
POWIPower Integrations, Inc.-8.27%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.-8.23%
INDPIndaptus Therapeutics, Inc.-8.07%
AEHRAehr Test Systems-8.05%
AOSLAlpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited-7.92%
RIGLRigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc.-7.83%
WDCWestern Digital Corporation-7.77%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.-7.57%
LRCXLam Research Corporation-7.55%
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🎯  Gamma Flip Point β€” $SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPX gamma flip point is 7496.02

 

πŸ”₯  Hot Market News

Ukraine now struggles to intercept ballistic missiles, data show

Ukraine's interception of Russian ballistic missiles has fallen to zero in recent large-scale attacks, highlighting a shortage of US-made Patriot interceptors. The recent Russian strikes, including 23 Iskander-M missiles, have resulted in increased casualties and destruction in Kyiv, intensifying the need for replenishment of air defense munitions.

Straitstimes · 3 minute read

Fed's Williams tells Fox Business he's more sanguine on inflation due to energy price retreat

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams expressed a more positive outlook on near-term inflation due to expected declines in energy prices, despite inflation still being considered too high. However, he maintained that the monetary policy stance remains unchanged, focusing on maximum employment and price stability, while recent geopolitical tensions affecting energy prices are easing.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

De Beers makes deep diamond price cuts for shrinking buyers club

De Beers has significantly reduced diamond prices in response to a decrease in its number of buyers, aiming to boost demand amid challenging industry conditions.

Miningweekly · 3 minute read

Goldman Sachs lays out stock picks in the 'HALO' trade it sees entering a second, and tougher, phase

Goldman Sachs is focusing on stock picks within the 'HALO' trade β€” heavy assets, low obsolescence β€” as it moves into a more challenging phase where companies must prove themselves through earnings. The team recommends infrastructure, basic materials, aerospace and defense, manufacturing and consumer platforms, and technology sectors, with specific stock picks including Shell, Airbus, and ASML Holding among others.

Morningstar · 6 minute read

AI Productivity Gains Are Years Away, Deutsche Bank’s Reid Says

Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid predicts that while AI has significant potential to enhance productivity and create jobs, it may take years for its benefits to be fully realized in economies. Despite concerns of a potential tech bust due to rapid AI advancements, Reid believes the historical pattern of innovation suggests AI will be work-enhancing without causing aggregate job loss.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

Ukrainian ⁠drones attack a dozen Russian oil tankers

Ukrainian drones have attacked a dozen tankers, part of Russia's 'shadow fleet', over the past two days in the Sea of Azov, targeting vessels delivering fuel to Crimea amid Kyiv's intensified campaign to isolate the Russian-occupied peninsula. These strikes are part of broader efforts to disrupt Russian naval logistics and have led to fuel shortages in Crimea, prompting authorities there to declare a state of emergency.

Com · 3 minute read

Shell Signals Oil and Gas Trading Windfall in Q2 Amid Iran War

Shell forecasts much higher oil and LNG trading profits for Q2 2026 due to extreme market volatility from the Iran war, reporting gains beyond those in Q1, as market conditions drive significant earnings increases for European energy majors.

Oilprice · 2 minute read

SpaceX’s biggest bull sees a $10.5tn valuation. A famed bear bets on a crash

SpaceX debuted on the Nasdaq 100, with a Raymond James analyst predicting a $10.5 trillion valuation based on future AI ventures, while investor Jeremy Grantham criticized these projections, anticipating a 90% chance of a company crash.

Thenextweb · 3 minute read

Suspect in Monaco Bomb Attack Found Dead Near Kyiv

Anastasiia Berezovska, suspected of a bomb attack in Monaco that injured a Ukrainian tycoon, was found dead near Kyiv. Ukrainian prosecutors arrested two men linked to the case, including a military officer, and are investigating their involvement in the attack, which may have repercussions for Ukraine's government.

The Guardian · 3 minute read

U.S. Treasury Revokes Authorization of Iranian Oil Sales After Tanker Attacks

The U.S. Treasury Department is revoking its authorization of Iranian oil sales due to a series of Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, withdrawing the license that permitted the sale of Iranian oil via an interim deal with Tehran.

CNBC · 1 minute read

US strikes Iran and blocks oil sales in new test of ceasefire

The US conducted strikes on over 80 sites in Iran, including military targets, in response to recent attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, the US revoked a waiver for Iranian oil sales, jeopardizing a peace agreement and causing Brent oil prices to rise.

Com · 5 minute read

Chris Freiman@cafreiman

A reminder that the middle class is shrinking because many people are getting too rich to remain middle class

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Jack Farley@JackFarley96

Samsung made more money in operating profit this quarter than Nvidia did

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈS&P 500 History leans very bullish. Since 1950, when the S&P 500 has risen more than 10% in Q2, the rest of the year has finished in the red just once. Average gains come in near 12%, a track record that keeps bulls smiling πŸ‘‰https://www.isabelnet.com/?s=S%26P+500 h/t @RyanDetrick $spx #spx

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Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited

Very weak small business hiring intentions run directly counter to the view that labor markets are heating up. And these biz are 50pct of US employment. h/t @thedailyshot

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Warren Pies@WarrenPies

Despite the nervousness around compute demand ($META), B200 rental rates have shot up over the past week ($5.30 to $5.77 - @Silicon_Data ). This confirms what we have seen in B200 availability, which collapsed back to 0% a few weeks back (excerpt from @3F_Research H2 Outlook).

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unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Fed's Williams: I feel more positive about inflation in the near term due to energy prices

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

As a percentage of S&P 500 market cap, cash is near a record low.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

America's top 0.1% have doubled their wealth in just six years.

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Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0

Samsung is now at a Forward P/E of 6.79x after this earnings report. $DRAM

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Heather Exner-Pirot@ExnerPirot

β€œThe PM keeps talking about the C$70bn [US$49bn] UAE commitment he secured on his first visit in November. None of that has been deployed,” said one Canadian official. 🧐 Canada tells UAE it is not ready for its $70 billion investment @FT https://www.ft.com/content/04a278b3-9358-4082-a204-bacd11c96860?accessToken=zwAAAZ88_gHakc8Eonizk1hAgtOiBLrNEcloYA.MEYCIQCNZvC_Z8QrdrK5bByLD4MH5TZju6bPjNfJSx-V_unMGQIhALkAkaPUQFCBtyhQKitEFKdZvrIctqHSDW_MPe1gBzPG&segmentId=e95a9ae7-622c-6235-5f87-51e412b47e97&shareId=6c2a952c-6eab-4df9-89be-0792ccbdb6fb&shareType=enterprise&syn-25a6b1a6=1

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Liz Ann Sonders@LizAnnSonders

Hiring slowed for a second week according to @adpresearch, with private payrolls adding an average of 21,000k jobs per week for four-weeks ending June 20

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

Russell 2000 continues pacing for its best year since 1991 @augurinfinity

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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT πŸ–@MikeZaccardi

GS: Capital-intensive stocks see one of the strongest positive EPS revisions year to date #HALO

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Steve Hou@stevehou

Pepsi $PEP is flat since the start of COVID while Coke $KO has done a little better lately. I remember during the pandemic Coke was compared unfavorably vs Pepsi due to their lack of pricing power. Since then Pepsi has suffered from the price hikes and had to walk them back.

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

πŸ“Œ EPS Since the start of the year, EPS revisions have trended higher across the S&P 500, STOXX 600, Topix and especially MSCI EM, as confidence in 2026 earnings builds πŸ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/blog/ @GoldmanSachs #earnings #EPS $spx #spx #stocks #stoxx #topix

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Capex Big Tech's five hyperscalers are now investing beyond their operating cash flow. The narrative has flipped from "can they afford it?" to whether the AI buildout can justify the bill πŸ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/blog/ @DeutscheBank #AI #capex $spx #spx #tech #stocks #equity

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ISABELNET@ISABELNET_SA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Capex Goldman Sachs thinks Wall Street is too conservative on 2027 hyperscaler capex, with the AI spending boom likely to run hotter for longer πŸ‘‰ https://www.isabelnet.com/blog/ @GoldmanSachs #AI #capex $spx #spx #tech #stocks #equity

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Kalshi@Kalshi

JUST IN: JPMorgan says investors should "buy" the dip in semiconductor stocks

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Daily Chartbook@dailychartbook

"Consensus currently expects 2027 EPS at around $400. If that number doesn't really change by year-end and valuations stay around where they are today, that gets you comfortably to around 8000 on the S&P 500." @DualityResearch

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πŸ’±  Forex & Commodities

China’s PBOC buys most gold in 2023 as bullion swings

China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), has emerged as the largest buyer of gold in 2023, increasing its holdings amidst fluctuating bullion prices.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

China buys more US soybeans as key agricultural trade ramps up

China has increased its purchases of US soybeans, signaling a ramp-up in a crucial area of agricultural trade between the two countries.

Theedgesingapore · 3 minute read

Russian Oil Flows Hit New High But Slumping Prices Crush Income

Russia is facing challenges with decreasing oil prices and unsold crude due to increased Ukrainian drone attacks on its refineries, which have hit facilities such as Lukoil's Norsi and Omsk refinery. This has led to increased exports as domestic processing declines, causing a build-up of oil at sea.

Yahoo Finance · 3 minute read

US Sees Global Oil Output, Flows Back at Pre-War Level By 2027

A US government report indicates that global crude oil production and flows are expected to return to pre-war levels by the end of this year, earlier than previously estimated, with most production resuming by early 2027 following disruptions from the Iran war.

Yahoo Finance · 2 minute read

JΓ©rΓ©mie@jeremie0117

We have a copper shortage. Iron ore grades are declining. China is restricting sulfuric acid exports. Yet, massive amounts of copper supply will be needed for AI infrastructure, data centers, and grid electrification. The demand is coming.

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Rory Johnston@Rory_Johnston

Brent crude prompt timespreads have leapt back into backwardation after their recent and temporary Hormuz surge-driven dip into contango. Crude market tightening back up.

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MenchOsint@MenchOsint

We have the names of three tankers hit by the IRGC in the past hours: Qatari-owned LPG tanker AL REKAYYAT Saudi-owned Oil Tanker WEDYAN UAE-owned LPG Tanker AL MARYAH Another one hit this afternoon remain to be identified, and the unreported one hit during July 5-6 night too.

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Hedgeye@Hedgeye

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) stocks fall to 43-year low

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Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno

Loads of Oil now in transit, and adjusted for sanctions, this is undoubtedly a new record high

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πŸͺ™  Crypto News / Prediction Markets / AI

SpaceX IPO Drives Tokenized Stock Trading Volume to $3.86 Billion in June

SpaceX's IPO has significantly increased on-chain tokenized stock trading volume to $3.86 billion in June, with SPCX alone contributing $1.19 billion, accounting for 31% of the total volume.

Kucoin · 1 minute read

Bitcoin stalls as open interest decline raises questions about rally's staying power

Bitcoin's price fell to $63,214.40 on Tuesday, marking its first decline this month after hitting a two-week high on Monday. Despite recent gains in the cryptocurrency market, derivative traders are not fully participating in the rally, raising concerns about the sustainability of the recovery, while total crypto market valuation has increased by 8.4% since July 1, reaching $2.16 trillion.

Cryptonews · 4 minute read

unusual_whales@unusual_whales

China's DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip, per Reuters

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Rand Group@randgroup

The $BTC exchange reserves are on the rise again, outflows slowing down

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